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[QUOTE="moqui, post: 259076, member: 214"]
here is what the split looks like for the 2010 team. 
[IMG]http://img33.imageshack.us/img33/1372/taleoftwoseasons2010.jpg[/IMG]
 
The immediate problem that comes to bear is how do you split the seasons?  This year, it was obvious that the offense slowed down from Notre Dame on, so there was an easy split to make.  It wasn't so clear in 2010.  I chose to do the same First 20 games/Rest of the Season split, but that might not be a fair comparison.  Maybe it should come half way through the BE schedule, or 1/3 of the way through; I don't know, and there won't be a strong theoretical reason for choosing a split, it will just be arbitrary.
 
But putting all that aside, the decline we saw in offensive production in 2010 was about 9% . . .the decline this year was 16%.  The 2010 team was not as dependent on points of turnovers to begin with and on top of that suffered a smaller decline.  It's too small a sample to draw any conclusions, but it supports my own bias that a low post scoring presence is essential . . . which, by the way, is why I prefer DC2 to NN and won't be bothered at all if the latter chooses another school.
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