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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5556839, member: 1969"] I don't disagree with that comment, I am basing it on KP which generally correlates strongly with game lines. You may be right that these bottom feeders are getting bombed a little more than normal. (his model is probably based on past, and the portal makes it continually worse for the worst of the NAA) The SEC team is winning by 38.3 in these Q4 bottom feeder games, and the average ACC team is winning by 32.3. That being said I have not calculated the three other P5 conferences and just eyeballing it they will seem to be more in the 20-25 range. That being said, no matter what the "expectation" is... two equal teams, one beats the bottom feeder by 40, and one beats them by 10, it will create a 6-8 spot difference by season end. [/QUOTE]