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Message: [QUOTE="HRE Otto IV, post: 4730962, member: 5685"] Lots of posts to catch up on. -A streaming provider (like Youtube) is still using the cable model. It hurts the cable company but the network gets paid the same way. The direct to consumer model (like Apple) is where a difference will be. -OTA games still care about Markets somewhat when combined with Brand. They don't get paid via subscribers. -I think there will be plenty of money left for the B18 and SEC for their next contracts. Except instead of one network buying a majority of the rights, they will split the rights into packages that several providers will share. For example let's say the B18 goes to 24. That will give them 12+ games a week to sell. They can sell Friday Night Football to Amazon. Sell the Saturday Night Game of the Week to NBC. Noon and 3:30 to FOX. Noon and 3:30 to FS1. Sell a Noon, 3:30, and 7:30 to Apple. Have a Noon, 3:30, 7:30 for the BTN. Same for the SEC but with ABC/ESPN and CBS. The problem is all the money will be tied up in those two conferences leaving not much left for the other conferences. -I don't see a Super League working in anyway. First, who decides who makes it and who doesn't? South Carolina has a large fanbase but not a great brand. Would they be worth adding? One could argue that having Rutgers would be better. Second, you cannot have the majority of teams all in one section of the country. The interest will be poor in the rest of the country. Even the NFL shows games regionally. Not every game will be national TV worthy. ESPN usually does the same with the ABC CFB games as well. And CFB fans who do not have any attachment to these teams are not going to pay multiple subscriptions to watch. You lose a ton of eyeballs. Third, what makes the big schools marketable is their Brand and Fanbase size. So what do you think will happen to both if teams start going 6-6 instead of 10-2? If the Brands are being tarnished and fans aren't engaged, you lose a lot of eyeballs. People can get excited about seeing 7-1 Oklahoma vs 6-2 Wisconsin. Not so much when it is 5-3 Oklahoma vs 4-4 Wisconsin. Let's say the Top 32 programs left. In a typical season you likely end up with about 3 teams at 1-2 Ws, about 3 teams at 3-4 Ws, about 3 teams at 8-9 Ws, about 3 teams at 10-11 Ws, and about 18 teams at 5-7 Ws. That will absolutely kill many brands and many fanbase sizes. If you are only seeing 20-25% of the schools have successful seasons vs 75-80% now, it will change things a lot. I don't doubt there is eventually a breakaway, but I think it will be more like 3 leagues of 24 than one league of 32. [/QUOTE]

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