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[QUOTE="JimBoston, post: 5465866, member: 1312"]
Once the ACC settled with Clemson and FSU, the monetary penalties to leave the ACC with your media rights were defined.  In other words, the GORs are basically over.  Thus, it is only a matter of time until schools try to leave with 2030/2031 being the target year to leave as the exit fee drops to $75 million.  I say try because you have to have to have a better spot lined up which isn't a given.  Also, look at when the conference media deals end:

Big 10:  2029/2030
Big 12:  2030/2031
SEC:  2033/2034
ACC:  2035/2036

Officially, ACC schools must give 13 months notice to leave by June 1st of the previous year.  Thus no ACC school in leaving during 2025/2026.

If a school is planning to leave the ACC for the Big 10, I would think they would announce it by June 1, 2027 or 2028 to help with the media negotiation.  If a school is leaving for the SEC, I would expect them to announce it by June 1, 2029, but it will become obvious they are leaving before then.

One other point.  It isn't a given that we end up with a P2 as a third conference could arise by a combination of the best of the Big 12 and ACC to create a P3.  How could this happen?  Well, it is kind of what happened when the Big 12 was formed in 1994 with the Big 8 combining with 4 schools from the SWC.  And, private equity could help fund the new conference.  Remember, there was an ACC "Magnificent Seven" of UNC, FSU, Clemson, Miami, NC State, Virginia, and Virginia Tech that supposedly met to figure out a way to break the GORs.
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