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[QUOTE="anomander, post: 1431284, member: 2766"]
If you're anybody but an Orange fan you would be ridiculous to predict anything more then 4-5 wins.  Obviously we are not that highly thought of, but stepping back and looking at it from a national perspective it makes sense.  We have been down for well over a decade now, minus a few decent seasons in the Big East.  Our recruiting has been poor when stacked up against the rest of the country, and we seemed to have regressed under a new coaching staff.  Again, I presume this is the perspective from somebody outside of CNY looking at the program.

Personally I think we could fall anywhere between 4 - 7 wins.  The first 6 are critical.  We absolutely must have the first 3.  LSU we have nothing to lose, so I hope to see us go balls to the wall, and not play not to get blown out like we did against ND, and FSU last year.  I think the season comes down to @USF, and @UVA.  We have to at least split.  Both programs should be much better this year, and with both being on the road, and USF right after LSU, they will be tough.  If we can split, I think we will have enough confidence/momentum, to find a way to get 2 more wins somehow.  Best chances would be Pitt, NCST, and BC.  Pitt has a new HC, and could be caught in a bit of a transition year, and BC hopefully will be dealing with a bit of a transition year themselves.  NCST could be on the upswing.  Basically everyone in the conference is getting better, so we obviously need to do the same.  I really think we get 5 or 6 wins, with a floor of 4, and ceiling of 7.  Anywhere outside those a move needs to be made.  Hard look at 4, fired at 3, and given an extension at 7.
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