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[QUOTE="TheCusian, post: 2401838, member: 2585"]
Here's what's wild. Based on [USER=793]Louie and Bouie[/USER] stats, you'd think that ranking of the coaches based on O/D PPP should be:

1. Marrone
2. Shafer
3. Robinson
4. Babers

Now, rank them by win % and use the stats from the OP SoS:

1. Marrone (25-25) [B].500[/B] vs AVG SoS of 50.75
2. Shafer (14-23) [B].378[/B] vs AVG SoS of 31.3
3. Babers (8-16) [B].333[/B] vs AVG SoS of 10
4. Robinson (5-37) [B].119[/B] vs AVG SoS of 26.4

I love stats and digging into this stuff, but their are always blind spots with every tool. [USER=793]Louie and Bouie[/USER] references that but also said that these PPP numbers were a good indicator of the W/L records. In the case of Dino Babers, I'm not so sure.

[I]He's winning at a decent clip vs the toughest schedule with the worst Points per Possession stats? [/I]

Here's the coaches ranked by record vs FBS teams with winning records (I left out Robinson, because it's bad and I'm too lazy to look it up).

1. Marrone vs FBS Winning: 9-19 (.321)
2. Babers vs FBS Winning: 4-13 (.235)
3. Shafer vs FBS Winning: 6-20 (.230)

[I]Now he's beating more good teams with a tougher schedule and worse Points per Possession stats than his predecessor?[/I]

I think [USER=78]Millhouse[/USER] is right about quality of kicker playing a part. And OT, etc.
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