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Message: [QUOTE="TheCusian, post: 3950788, member: 2585"] I want to start with just an acknowledgment that stats this early in the season fall victim to "not enough" to draw too many conclusions. By the time we get to ACC play, there will be helpful info where trends (are we a good running team?) really show up. Data this early rests a lot in "how good is the team we just played, actually?" In this case it's really interesting to see the scores and classic box score type stats of our game vs Rutgers/Temple: [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Game[/TH] [TH]Score[/TH] [TH]Yards per Play[/TH] [TH]Yards[/TH] [TH]Turnover Margin[/TH] [TH]# of Off Plays[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rutgers vs Temple[/TD] [TD]61-14[/TD] [TD]4.56[/TD] [TD]365[/TD] [TD]+5[/TD] [TD]Rutgers 80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Syracuse vs Ohio[/TD] [TD]29-9[/TD] [TD]6.18[/TD] [TD]383[/TD] [TD]+1[/TD] [TD]Syracuse 62[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Just scanning the scores, you'd probably think Rutgers is pretty good and we're lucky to pull out a win at a MAC school coming off a 1-10 season. If you dug a little deeper you'd probably see that +5 in TOs and think "ahh, I see Rutgers got a pretty good bump due to some turnover luck." They also had more chances to score by running more plays, probably inflated by TOs. Their score is juiced, while ours looks modest. [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Game[/TH] [TH]Score[/TH] [TH]EPA Play Margin (Rank)[/TH] [TH]EPA O (Rank)[/TH] [TH]EPA D (Rank)[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rutgers[/TD] [TD]61-14[/TD] [TD]-0.029 (#58)[/TD] [TD]-0.081 (#72)[/TD] [TD]-0.035 (#43)[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Syracuse[/TD] [TD]29-9[/TD] [TD]0.153 (#25)[/TD] [TD]0.321 (#11)[/TD] [TD]0.052 (#67)[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] If you go by efficiency, we had a far superior day. They were far worse on offense and a bit better on D - and rode their TOs to a win. I think we're in good shape going in to this game. [/QUOTE]

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