SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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(I finally finished updating this - I hadn't posted since my computer broke on 1/3)
The last few years I’ve attempted to quantify team’s performances against ranked teams, (historically a big factor in decisions made about getting into playoffs) with a system that gives points to teams for the ranking of their opponents and adds or subtracts the point differential in their games, (adds in a win, subtracts in a loss). The ‘ranking’ points are 25 for playing a #1 ranked team, 24 for playing a #2 ranked team, etc., down to 1 point for playing a 25th ranked team. These points are easily computed by subtracting the ranking number from 26, (26-1 = 25; 26-25 =1, etc.). Over the course of the season, I add the points earned by each team in their games against ranked teams as a sort of standings but have always maintained that this is just one thing to look at in evaluating the team, not a final overall ranking.
(The last couple of years I’ve also kept track of ranked team’s performances vs. unranked teams by totaling the points gained or lost against them but that was a lot of extra work and tended to favor schools with weak schedules so I’m dropping that measure this year, as I did for the football version of this.)
WEEK 15 (2/13-19)
Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
Tennessee beat #1 Alabama 68-59 = +34
Kansas beat #9 Baylor 87-71 = +33
Oklahoma beat #12 Kansas State 79-65 = +28
Kentucky beat #10 Tennessee 66-54 = +28
Texas Tech beat #6 Texas 74-67 = +27
Oklahoma lost to #6 Texas 83-85 = +18
Notre Dame lost to #7 Virginia 55-57 = +17
Louisville lost to #7 Virginia 58-61 = +16
Memphis lost to #2 Houston 64-72 = +16
Providence beat #18 Creighton 94-86 = +16
Iowa State beat #22 Texas Christian 70-59 = +15
Xavier lost to #11 Marquette 68-69 = +15
Northwestern beat #14 Indiana 64-62 = +14
Kansas State beat #19 Iowa State 61-55 = +13
Stanford lost to #4 UCLA 64-73 = +13
Marquette beat #16 Xavier 69-68 = +11
Oklahoma State lost to #5 Kansas 76-87 = +10
Illinois lost to #14 Indiana 68-71 = +9
Southern Methodist lost to #2 Houston 65-80 = +9
Colorado lost to #8 Arizona 68-78 = +8
Iowa State lost to #12 Kansas State 55-61 = +8
San Diego lost to #17 St. Mary’s 59-62 = +6
Syracuse beat #23 North Carolina State 75-72 = +6
Baylor lost to #5 Kansas 71-87 = +5
Middle Tennessee beat #25 Florida Atlantic 74-70 = +5
West Virginia lost to #9 Baylor 67-79 = +5
Pepperdine lost to #13 Gonzaga 88-97 = +4
Brigham Young lost to #17 St. Mary’s 65-71 = +3
North Carolina lost to #15 U of Miami 72-80 = +3
Fresno State lost to #21 San Diego State 43-45 = +3
Wake Forest lost to #15 U of Miami 87-96 = +2
St. John’s lost to #18 Creighton 67-77 = -2
Seton Hall lost to #20 Connecticut 55-64 = -3
DePaul lost to #16 Xavier 68-82 = -4
Ohio State lost to #3 Purdue 55-82 = -4
Texas Christian lost to #19 Iowa State 59-70 = -4
North Carolina lost to NC State 69-77 = -5
Creighton lost to #24 Providence 86-94 = -6
Utah lost to #8 Arizona 62-88 = -8
Villanova lost to #24 Providence 72-85 = -11
California lost to #4 UCLA 43-78 = -13
Oklahoma State lost to #22 Texas Christian 75-100 = -21
Georgia lost to #1 Alabama 59-108 = -24
Loyola Marymount lost to #13 Gonzaga 65-108 = -30
TOP 25
Kansas +183
Iowa State +180
Texas +156
Kansas State +138
Alabama +137
Creighton +135
Tennessee +130
Oklahoma +125
Arizona +122
Texas Christian +121
Xavier +114
Michigan State +113
Illinois +100
Maryland +98
Marquette +95
Oklahoma State +92
Missouri +89
Indiana +86
Purdue +79
Baylor +76
Virginia +76
Texas Tech +73
Washington State +72
UCLA +70
NC State +68
Comment: Both this and the NET rankings are part of the “non-conference bias”: The reputations of teams and their conferences is established in the early games and don’t change through the conference seasons so it’s difficult for teams in the conferences that did not do well in November and December to improve their ranking while, in the conference that did do well, the teams feed off of each other’s rankings. This, despite the fact that teams can improve as the season go along and conferences that supposedly were not good, such as the Pac12 two years ago or the ACC last year can shock people with their performances in the NCAA tournament. My solution: mix the schedule so that conferences and non-conference games are played in all four months of the regular season and mathematically give more weight to December games over November games, January over December and the games played from February 1st onward over the January games.
The worst performance against ranked teams so far is that of Mississippi Valley State (-83)
Syracuse has +15 points.
ACC Teams:
Virginia +76
North Carolina State +68
Wake Forest +49
Virginia Tech +48
Boston College +46
Notre Dame +42
U of Miami +32
North Carolina +25
Duke +20
Syracuse +15
Clemson +7
Florida State +7
Pittsburgh +5
Georgia Tech -4
Louisville -55
WEEKLY CHAMPIONS:
WEEK 1 Michigan State lost to #2 Gonzaga 63-64 = +23
WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38
WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 70-96 = +46
WEEK 5 Alabama beat #1 Houston 71-65 = +31
Illinois beat #2 Texas 85-78 = +31
WEEK 6 Kansas beat #14 Indiana 84-62 = +34
WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38
WEEK 8 Xavier beat #2 Connecticut 83-73 = +34
WEEK 9 North Carolina State beat #16 Duke 84-60 +34
Providence beat #4 Connecticut 73-61 = +34
Washington State beat #5 Arizona 74-61 = +34
WEEK 10 Oregon beat #9 Arizona 87-68 = +36
WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47
WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48
WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37
WEEK 14 Connecticut beat #10 Marquette 87-72 = +31
WEEK 14 Northwestern beat #1 Purdue 64-58 = +31
WEEK 14 Stanford beat #4 Arizona 88-79 = +31
WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
TOP TEN PERFORMANCES:
WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48
WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47
WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 96-70 = +46
WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43
WEEK 2 Gonzaga beat #4 Kentucky 88-72 = +38
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38
WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #8 Duke 75-56 = +37
WEEK 3 Tennessee beat #3 Kansas 64-50 = +37
WEEK 4 Utah beat #4 Arizona 81-66 = +37
WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37
WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
The last few years I’ve attempted to quantify team’s performances against ranked teams, (historically a big factor in decisions made about getting into playoffs) with a system that gives points to teams for the ranking of their opponents and adds or subtracts the point differential in their games, (adds in a win, subtracts in a loss). The ‘ranking’ points are 25 for playing a #1 ranked team, 24 for playing a #2 ranked team, etc., down to 1 point for playing a 25th ranked team. These points are easily computed by subtracting the ranking number from 26, (26-1 = 25; 26-25 =1, etc.). Over the course of the season, I add the points earned by each team in their games against ranked teams as a sort of standings but have always maintained that this is just one thing to look at in evaluating the team, not a final overall ranking.
(The last couple of years I’ve also kept track of ranked team’s performances vs. unranked teams by totaling the points gained or lost against them but that was a lot of extra work and tended to favor schools with weak schedules so I’m dropping that measure this year, as I did for the football version of this.)
WEEK 15 (2/13-19)
Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
Tennessee beat #1 Alabama 68-59 = +34
Kansas beat #9 Baylor 87-71 = +33
Oklahoma beat #12 Kansas State 79-65 = +28
Kentucky beat #10 Tennessee 66-54 = +28
Texas Tech beat #6 Texas 74-67 = +27
Oklahoma lost to #6 Texas 83-85 = +18
Notre Dame lost to #7 Virginia 55-57 = +17
Louisville lost to #7 Virginia 58-61 = +16
Memphis lost to #2 Houston 64-72 = +16
Providence beat #18 Creighton 94-86 = +16
Iowa State beat #22 Texas Christian 70-59 = +15
Xavier lost to #11 Marquette 68-69 = +15
Northwestern beat #14 Indiana 64-62 = +14
Kansas State beat #19 Iowa State 61-55 = +13
Stanford lost to #4 UCLA 64-73 = +13
Marquette beat #16 Xavier 69-68 = +11
Oklahoma State lost to #5 Kansas 76-87 = +10
Illinois lost to #14 Indiana 68-71 = +9
Southern Methodist lost to #2 Houston 65-80 = +9
Colorado lost to #8 Arizona 68-78 = +8
Iowa State lost to #12 Kansas State 55-61 = +8
San Diego lost to #17 St. Mary’s 59-62 = +6
Syracuse beat #23 North Carolina State 75-72 = +6
Baylor lost to #5 Kansas 71-87 = +5
Middle Tennessee beat #25 Florida Atlantic 74-70 = +5
West Virginia lost to #9 Baylor 67-79 = +5
Pepperdine lost to #13 Gonzaga 88-97 = +4
Brigham Young lost to #17 St. Mary’s 65-71 = +3
North Carolina lost to #15 U of Miami 72-80 = +3
Fresno State lost to #21 San Diego State 43-45 = +3
Wake Forest lost to #15 U of Miami 87-96 = +2
St. John’s lost to #18 Creighton 67-77 = -2
Seton Hall lost to #20 Connecticut 55-64 = -3
DePaul lost to #16 Xavier 68-82 = -4
Ohio State lost to #3 Purdue 55-82 = -4
Texas Christian lost to #19 Iowa State 59-70 = -4
North Carolina lost to NC State 69-77 = -5
Creighton lost to #24 Providence 86-94 = -6
Utah lost to #8 Arizona 62-88 = -8
Villanova lost to #24 Providence 72-85 = -11
California lost to #4 UCLA 43-78 = -13
Oklahoma State lost to #22 Texas Christian 75-100 = -21
Georgia lost to #1 Alabama 59-108 = -24
Loyola Marymount lost to #13 Gonzaga 65-108 = -30
TOP 25
Kansas +183
Iowa State +180
Texas +156
Kansas State +138
Alabama +137
Creighton +135
Tennessee +130
Oklahoma +125
Arizona +122
Texas Christian +121
Xavier +114
Michigan State +113
Illinois +100
Maryland +98
Marquette +95
Oklahoma State +92
Missouri +89
Indiana +86
Purdue +79
Baylor +76
Virginia +76
Texas Tech +73
Washington State +72
UCLA +70
NC State +68
Comment: Both this and the NET rankings are part of the “non-conference bias”: The reputations of teams and their conferences is established in the early games and don’t change through the conference seasons so it’s difficult for teams in the conferences that did not do well in November and December to improve their ranking while, in the conference that did do well, the teams feed off of each other’s rankings. This, despite the fact that teams can improve as the season go along and conferences that supposedly were not good, such as the Pac12 two years ago or the ACC last year can shock people with their performances in the NCAA tournament. My solution: mix the schedule so that conferences and non-conference games are played in all four months of the regular season and mathematically give more weight to December games over November games, January over December and the games played from February 1st onward over the January games.
The worst performance against ranked teams so far is that of Mississippi Valley State (-83)
Syracuse has +15 points.
ACC Teams:
Virginia +76
North Carolina State +68
Wake Forest +49
Virginia Tech +48
Boston College +46
Notre Dame +42
U of Miami +32
North Carolina +25
Duke +20
Syracuse +15
Clemson +7
Florida State +7
Pittsburgh +5
Georgia Tech -4
Louisville -55
WEEKLY CHAMPIONS:
WEEK 1 Michigan State lost to #2 Gonzaga 63-64 = +23
WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38
WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 70-96 = +46
WEEK 5 Alabama beat #1 Houston 71-65 = +31
Illinois beat #2 Texas 85-78 = +31
WEEK 6 Kansas beat #14 Indiana 84-62 = +34
WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38
WEEK 8 Xavier beat #2 Connecticut 83-73 = +34
WEEK 9 North Carolina State beat #16 Duke 84-60 +34
Providence beat #4 Connecticut 73-61 = +34
Washington State beat #5 Arizona 74-61 = +34
WEEK 10 Oregon beat #9 Arizona 87-68 = +36
WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47
WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48
WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37
WEEK 14 Connecticut beat #10 Marquette 87-72 = +31
WEEK 14 Northwestern beat #1 Purdue 64-58 = +31
WEEK 14 Stanford beat #4 Arizona 88-79 = +31
WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
TOP TEN PERFORMANCES:
WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48
WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47
WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 96-70 = +46
WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43
WEEK 2 Gonzaga beat #4 Kentucky 88-72 = +38
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38
WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38
WEEK 3 Purdue beat #8 Duke 75-56 = +37
WEEK 3 Tennessee beat #3 Kansas 64-50 = +37
WEEK 4 Utah beat #4 Arizona 81-66 = +37
WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37
WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37
