SWC75
Bored Historian
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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 3
Georgetown beat #22 Texas 82-66 = +20 points
Akron lost to #2 Louisville 76-82 = +18 points
Baylor beat #17 Villanova 87-78 = +18 points
Georgetown lost to #1 Duke 73-81 = +17 points
Arizona State lost to #7 Virginia 45-48 = +16 points
Florida beat #18 Xavier 70-65 = +13 points
Vermont lost to #7 Virginia 55-61 = +13 points
UT Arlington lost to #8 Gonzaga 66-72 = +12 points
East Tennessee State lost to #4 Kansas 63-75 = +10 points
Louisiana State lost to #15 Utah State 78-80 = +9 points
Mississippi lost to #16 Memphis 86-87 = +9 points
Utah Valley lost to #9 Kentucky 74-82 = +9 points
Connecticut lost to #18 Xavier 74-75 = +7 points
Elon lost to #5 North Carolina 61-75 = +7 points
South Dakota State lost to #14 Arizona 64-71 = +5 points
Houston lost to #11 Oregon 66-78 = +3 points
Mississippi State lost to #17 Villanova 76-83 = +2 points
North Texas State lost to #15 Utah State 59-68 = +2 points
Fairfield lost to #6 Maryland 55-74 = +1 point
Little Rock lost to #16 Memphis 58-68 = 0 points
Tennessee State lost to #12 Texas Tech 57-72 = -1 point
South Carolina Upstate lost to #2 Louisville 50-76 = -2 points
George Mason lost to #6 Maryland 63-86 = -3 points
Mount St. Mary’s lost to #9 Kentucky 62-82 = -3 points
Villanova lost to #24 Baylor 78-87 = -7 points
Lamar lost to #9 Kentucky 56-81 = -8 points
California lost to #1 Duke 52-87 = -10 points
Cal State Bakersfield lost to #8 Gonzaga 49-77 = -10 points
Coastal Carolina lost to #24 Baylor 65-77 = -10 points
Wyoming lost to #23 Colorado 41-56 = -12 points
California lost to #22 Texas 45-62 = -13 points
Cal –Irvine lost to #23 Colorado 53-69 = -13 points
Towson lost to #18 Xavier 51-73 = -14 points
Brooklyn lost to #12 Texas Tech 66-96 = -16 points
Montana lost to #25 Washington 56-73 = -16 points
Maine lost to #25 Washington 53-72 = -18 points
San Diego lost to #25 Washington 69-88 = -18 points
Stetson lost to #10 Ohio State 51-86 = -19 points
Middle Tennessee State lost to #17 Villanova = -20 points
Ohio University lost to #24 Baylor 53-76 = -21 points
Texas-San Antonio lost to #15 Utah State 50-82 = -21 points
Colgate lost to #19 Auburn 62-91 = -22 points
Florida A&M lost to #13 Seton Hall 51-87 = -23 points
Purdue-Fort Wayne lost to #10 Ohio State 46-85 = -23 points
Charleston Southern lost to Michigan State 46-94 = -25 points
Florida Gulf Coast lost to #21 Va Commonwealth 48-78 = -25 points
Long Beach State lost to #14 Arizona 67-104 = -25 points
Alabama State lost to #20 Tennessee 41-76 = -29 points
Need San Diego vs. Washington
Comment: This time of year the big fish are treating to eat the little fish, (and occasionally gagging on them). A lot of schools that won’t be on this list in January are piling up the points, (some positive, mostly negative). Mike Hopkins team batted three of them out of the park.
Top 25
Ohio State +41 points
Georgetown +37 points
Michigan State +34 points
Florida State +32 points
Kentucky +32 points
Evansville +28 points
Duke +25 points
Connecticut +21 points
Oregon +21 points
Kansas +20 points
Tennessee +19 points
Akron +18 points
Baylor +18 points
Arizona State +16 points
Florida +13 points
Georgia State +13 points
Vermont +13 points
Washington +13 points
Winthrop +12 points
East Tennessee State +10 points
Louisiana State +9 points
Mississippi +9 points
Utah Valley +9 points
Elon +7 points
U of Miami +7 points
Texas +7 points
Syracuse has +1 point
SU’s opponents: Virginia 0 Colgate -22 Seattle 0 Cornell 0 Bucknell 0 Oklahoma State 0 Mississippi 0 Penn State 0 Iowa 0 Georgia Tech 0 Georgetown +37 Oakland -11 North Florida +5 Niagara 0 Notre Dame +6 Virginia Tech 0 Virginia 0 Boston College 0 Virginia Tech 0 Notre Dame +6 Pittsburgh 0 Clemson 0 Duke +25 Wake Forest 0 North Carolina State 0 Florida State +32 Louisville 0 Georgia Tech 0 Pittsburgh 0 North Carolina 0 Boston College 0 U of Miami +7
The worst so far is Central Arkansas with -61 points
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 3
Georgetown beat #22 Texas 82-66 = +20 points
Akron lost to #2 Louisville 76-82 = +18 points
Baylor beat #17 Villanova 87-78 = +18 points
Georgetown lost to #1 Duke 73-81 = +17 points
Arizona State lost to #7 Virginia 45-48 = +16 points
Florida beat #18 Xavier 70-65 = +13 points
Vermont lost to #7 Virginia 55-61 = +13 points
UT Arlington lost to #8 Gonzaga 66-72 = +12 points
East Tennessee State lost to #4 Kansas 63-75 = +10 points
Louisiana State lost to #15 Utah State 78-80 = +9 points
Mississippi lost to #16 Memphis 86-87 = +9 points
Utah Valley lost to #9 Kentucky 74-82 = +9 points
Connecticut lost to #18 Xavier 74-75 = +7 points
Elon lost to #5 North Carolina 61-75 = +7 points
South Dakota State lost to #14 Arizona 64-71 = +5 points
Houston lost to #11 Oregon 66-78 = +3 points
Mississippi State lost to #17 Villanova 76-83 = +2 points
North Texas State lost to #15 Utah State 59-68 = +2 points
Fairfield lost to #6 Maryland 55-74 = +1 point
Little Rock lost to #16 Memphis 58-68 = 0 points
Tennessee State lost to #12 Texas Tech 57-72 = -1 point
South Carolina Upstate lost to #2 Louisville 50-76 = -2 points
George Mason lost to #6 Maryland 63-86 = -3 points
Mount St. Mary’s lost to #9 Kentucky 62-82 = -3 points
Villanova lost to #24 Baylor 78-87 = -7 points
Lamar lost to #9 Kentucky 56-81 = -8 points
California lost to #1 Duke 52-87 = -10 points
Cal State Bakersfield lost to #8 Gonzaga 49-77 = -10 points
Coastal Carolina lost to #24 Baylor 65-77 = -10 points
Wyoming lost to #23 Colorado 41-56 = -12 points
California lost to #22 Texas 45-62 = -13 points
Cal –Irvine lost to #23 Colorado 53-69 = -13 points
Towson lost to #18 Xavier 51-73 = -14 points
Brooklyn lost to #12 Texas Tech 66-96 = -16 points
Montana lost to #25 Washington 56-73 = -16 points
Maine lost to #25 Washington 53-72 = -18 points
San Diego lost to #25 Washington 69-88 = -18 points
Stetson lost to #10 Ohio State 51-86 = -19 points
Middle Tennessee State lost to #17 Villanova = -20 points
Ohio University lost to #24 Baylor 53-76 = -21 points
Texas-San Antonio lost to #15 Utah State 50-82 = -21 points
Colgate lost to #19 Auburn 62-91 = -22 points
Florida A&M lost to #13 Seton Hall 51-87 = -23 points
Purdue-Fort Wayne lost to #10 Ohio State 46-85 = -23 points
Charleston Southern lost to Michigan State 46-94 = -25 points
Florida Gulf Coast lost to #21 Va Commonwealth 48-78 = -25 points
Long Beach State lost to #14 Arizona 67-104 = -25 points
Alabama State lost to #20 Tennessee 41-76 = -29 points
Need San Diego vs. Washington
Comment: This time of year the big fish are treating to eat the little fish, (and occasionally gagging on them). A lot of schools that won’t be on this list in January are piling up the points, (some positive, mostly negative). Mike Hopkins team batted three of them out of the park.
Top 25
Ohio State +41 points
Georgetown +37 points
Michigan State +34 points
Florida State +32 points
Kentucky +32 points
Evansville +28 points
Duke +25 points
Connecticut +21 points
Oregon +21 points
Kansas +20 points
Tennessee +19 points
Akron +18 points
Baylor +18 points
Arizona State +16 points
Florida +13 points
Georgia State +13 points
Vermont +13 points
Washington +13 points
Winthrop +12 points
East Tennessee State +10 points
Louisiana State +9 points
Mississippi +9 points
Utah Valley +9 points
Elon +7 points
U of Miami +7 points
Texas +7 points
Syracuse has +1 point
SU’s opponents: Virginia 0 Colgate -22 Seattle 0 Cornell 0 Bucknell 0 Oklahoma State 0 Mississippi 0 Penn State 0 Iowa 0 Georgia Tech 0 Georgetown +37 Oakland -11 North Florida +5 Niagara 0 Notre Dame +6 Virginia Tech 0 Virginia 0 Boston College 0 Virginia Tech 0 Notre Dame +6 Pittsburgh 0 Clemson 0 Duke +25 Wake Forest 0 North Carolina State 0 Florida State +32 Louisville 0 Georgia Tech 0 Pittsburgh 0 North Carolina 0 Boston College 0 U of Miami +7
The worst so far is Central Arkansas with -61 points
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