SWC75
Bored Historian
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It occurred to me that with a new basketball season beginning I could do an “Against Ranked Teams” post for this sport, too. The margins of victory are similar to football. The formula is to first give each team that plays a ranked team from 1-25 points based on the ranking (I’ll use the writer’s poll) of their opponent. This chart shows you how many points they’d get for playing each team ranked at a certain level , (the ranking is first, the points, second):
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK THIRTEEN
Florida beat #8 Kentucky 88-66 = 40 points
Oregon beat #5 Arizona 85-68 = 38 points
Kansas beat #2 Baylor 73-68 = 29 points
Iowa State beat #3 Kansas 92-89 = 26 points
Kansas State beat #2 Baylor 56-54 = 26 points
Oklahoma State beat #7 West Virginia 82-75 = 26 points
Virginia lost to #1 Villanova 59-61 = 23 points
Purdue beat #25 Northwestern 80-59 = 22 points
Syracuse beat #9 Virginia 66-62 = 21 points
Creighton beat #16 Butler 76-67 = 19 points
Baylor lost to #3 Kansas 68-73 = 18 points
Villanova beat #12 Virginia 61-59 = 17 points
Duke beat #20 Notre Dame 84-74 = 16 points
Brigham Young lost to #1 Gonzaga 75-85 = 15 points
Providence lost to #4 Villanova 57-66 = 13 points
Arizona State lost to #13 Oregon 70-71 = 12 points
Pittsburgh lost to #12 North Carolina 78-80 = 12 points
Purdue beat #17 Maryland 73-72 = 10 points
Tulsa lost to #14 Cincinnati 55-57 = 10 points
Georgia lost to #8 Kentucky 81-90 = 9 points
Nebraska beat #20 Purdue 83-80 = 9 points
St. John’s lost to #4 Villanova 79-92 = 9 points
Washington lost to #7 Arizona 66-77 = 8 points
Iowa State lost to #7 West Virginia 72-85 = 6 points
Georgia lost to #19 South Carolina 75-77 = 5 points
Oregon State lost to #5 Arizona 54-71 = 4 points
Pacific lost to #18 St. Mary’s 70-74 = 4 points
Illinois lost to #10 Wisconsin 43-57 = 2 points
Ohio State lost to #17 Maryland 71-77 = 2 points
Xavier beat #22 Creighton 82-80 = 2 points
Maryland lost to #23 Purdue 72-73 = 1 points
Comments: The rankings have bene churning all year and ti seems to be accelerating. Seven top ten teams went down this week. Gonzaga will probably wind up undefeated going into the post season but that’s because of the conference they are in. The Big Eight looks strong but I wonder if the bottom of their conference might be weak, enabling the top teams to have 2 or 3 loss records while ACC teams are having 4-5 losses. I have to believe that this thing is going to be wide open- if only we can get there.
Cumulative Totals
Top 25
Baylor 136 points
Louisville 119 points
Florida State 116 points
West Virginia 115 points
Butler 114 points
Kentucky 113 points
Creighton 97 points
Kansas 95 points
Oregon 91 points
Villanova 90 points
Georgia Tech 87 points
Kansas State 86 points
Virginia 84 points
Iowa State 81 points
Georgetown 79 points
North Carolina 76 points
Marquette 72 points
Indiana 68 points
Arizona 67 points
Duke 67 points
Purdue 67 points
Oklahoma State 63 points
Florida 60 points
Notre Dame 60 points
Colorado 59 points
Utah 59 points
Syracuse 51 points
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK THIRTEEN
Florida beat #8 Kentucky 88-66 = 40 points
Oregon beat #5 Arizona 85-68 = 38 points
Kansas beat #2 Baylor 73-68 = 29 points
Iowa State beat #3 Kansas 92-89 = 26 points
Kansas State beat #2 Baylor 56-54 = 26 points
Oklahoma State beat #7 West Virginia 82-75 = 26 points
Virginia lost to #1 Villanova 59-61 = 23 points
Purdue beat #25 Northwestern 80-59 = 22 points
Syracuse beat #9 Virginia 66-62 = 21 points
Creighton beat #16 Butler 76-67 = 19 points
Baylor lost to #3 Kansas 68-73 = 18 points
Villanova beat #12 Virginia 61-59 = 17 points
Duke beat #20 Notre Dame 84-74 = 16 points
Brigham Young lost to #1 Gonzaga 75-85 = 15 points
Providence lost to #4 Villanova 57-66 = 13 points
Arizona State lost to #13 Oregon 70-71 = 12 points
Pittsburgh lost to #12 North Carolina 78-80 = 12 points
Purdue beat #17 Maryland 73-72 = 10 points
Tulsa lost to #14 Cincinnati 55-57 = 10 points
Georgia lost to #8 Kentucky 81-90 = 9 points
Nebraska beat #20 Purdue 83-80 = 9 points
St. John’s lost to #4 Villanova 79-92 = 9 points
Washington lost to #7 Arizona 66-77 = 8 points
Iowa State lost to #7 West Virginia 72-85 = 6 points
Georgia lost to #19 South Carolina 75-77 = 5 points
Oregon State lost to #5 Arizona 54-71 = 4 points
Pacific lost to #18 St. Mary’s 70-74 = 4 points
Illinois lost to #10 Wisconsin 43-57 = 2 points
Ohio State lost to #17 Maryland 71-77 = 2 points
Xavier beat #22 Creighton 82-80 = 2 points
Maryland lost to #23 Purdue 72-73 = 1 points
Comments: The rankings have bene churning all year and ti seems to be accelerating. Seven top ten teams went down this week. Gonzaga will probably wind up undefeated going into the post season but that’s because of the conference they are in. The Big Eight looks strong but I wonder if the bottom of their conference might be weak, enabling the top teams to have 2 or 3 loss records while ACC teams are having 4-5 losses. I have to believe that this thing is going to be wide open- if only we can get there.
Cumulative Totals
Top 25
Baylor 136 points
Louisville 119 points
Florida State 116 points
West Virginia 115 points
Butler 114 points
Kentucky 113 points
Creighton 97 points
Kansas 95 points
Oregon 91 points
Villanova 90 points
Georgia Tech 87 points
Kansas State 86 points
Virginia 84 points
Iowa State 81 points
Georgetown 79 points
North Carolina 76 points
Marquette 72 points
Indiana 68 points
Arizona 67 points
Duke 67 points
Purdue 67 points
Oklahoma State 63 points
Florida 60 points
Notre Dame 60 points
Colorado 59 points
Utah 59 points
Syracuse 51 points