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Against Ranked Teams: (basketball) Week 17
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 4597732, member: 289"] The last few years I’ve attempted to quantify team’s performances against ranked teams, (historically a big factor in decisions made about getting into playoffs) with a system that gives points to teams for the ranking of their opponents and adds or subtracts the point differential in their games, (adds in a win, subtracts in a loss). The ‘ranking’ points are 25 for playing a #1 ranked team, 24 for playing a #2 ranked team, etc., down to 1 point for playing a 25th ranked team. These points are easily computed by subtracting the ranking number from 26, (26-1 = 25; 26-25 =1, etc.). Over the course of the season, I add the points earned by each team in their games against ranked teams as a sort of standings but have always maintained that this is just one thing to look at in evaluating the team, not a final overall ranking. (The last couple of years I’ve also kept track of ranked team’s performances vs. unranked teams by totaling the points gained or lost against them but that was a lot of extra work and tended to favor schools with weak schedules so I’m dropping that measure this year, as I did for the football version of this.) WEEK 17 (2/27-3/5) Texas beat #3 Kansas 75-59 = +39 Iowa State beat #7 Baylor 73-58 = +34 Iowa beat #15 Indiana 90-68 = +33 Seton Hall beat #20 Providence 82-58 = +30 Texas A&M beat #2 Alabama 67-61 = +30 UCLA beat #8 Arizona 82-73 = +27 Auburn beat #12 Tennessee 70-79 = +23 Memphis lost to #1 Houston 65-67 = +23 West Virginia beat #11 Kansas State 89-81 = +23 Auburn lost to #2 Alabama 85-90 = +19 Texas Christian beat #9 Texas 75-73 = +19 Texas Tech lost to #3 Kansas 63-67 = +19 Wisconsin lost to #5 Purdue 61-63 = +19 Oklahoma beat #22 Texas Christian 74-60 = +18 St. John’s lost to #6 Marquette 94-96 = +18 Illinois lost to #5 Purdue 71-76 = +16 Ohio State beat #21 Maryland 73-62 = +16 Boise State beat #18 San Diego State 66-60 = +14 Arizona lost to #4 UCLA 73-82 = +13 Oklahoma State lost to #7 Baylor 68-74 = +13 Southern California lost to #8 Arizona 81-87 = +12 Xavier beat #20 Providence 94-89 = +11 Michigan lost to #15 Indiana 73-75 = +9 Notre Dame beat #25 Pittsburgh 88-81 = +8 Pittsburgh lost to #16 U of Miami 76-78 = +8 Wichita State lost to #1 Houston 66-83 = +8 Clemson lost to #13 Virginia 57-64 = +6 Penn State beat #21 Maryland 65-64 = +6 Vanderbilt beat #23 Kentucky 68-66 = +5 Arizona State lost to #4 UCLA 61-79 = +4 Butler lost to #6 Marquette 56-72 = +4 U of Miami beat #25 Pittsburgh 78-76 = +3 Providence lost to #19 Xavier 89-94 = +2 Texas lost to #22 Texas 75-73 = +2 Kansas lost to #9 Texas 59-75 = +1 Villanova lost to #14 Connecticut 59-71 = 0 Oklahoma lost to #11 Kansas State 69-85 = -1 Louisville lost to #13 Virginia 60-75 = -2 Alabama lost to #24 Texas A&M 61-67 = -4 Arkansas lost to #12 Tennessee 57-75 = -4 Butler lost to #19 Xavier 66-78 = -5 Arkansas lost to #23 Kentucky 79-88 = -6 Mississippi lost to #24 Texas A&M 61-69 = -6 Wyoming lost to #18 San Diego State 50-67 = -9 DePaul lost to #14 Connecticut 59-88 = -17 Chicago State lost to #10 Gonzaga 65-104 = -23 TOP 25 Texas +226 Iowa State +214 Kansas +191 Oklahoma +163 Kansas State +160 Texas Christian +158 Creighton +149 Michigan State +137 Arizona +135 Alabama +133 Tennessee +126 Illinois +125 Xavier +125 Indiana +115 Baylor +105 Oklahoma State +105 Auburn +104 Marquette +104 Texas A&M +101 Maryland +98 UCLA +97 West Virginia +94 Texas Tech +93 Missouri +89 Gonzaga +86 Comment: Both this and the NET rankings are part of the “non-conference bias”: The reputations of teams and their conferences is established in the early games and don’t change through the conference seasons so it’s difficult for teams in the conferences that did not do well in November and December to improve their ranking while, in the conference that did do well, the teams feed off of each other’s rankings. This, despite the fact that teams can improve as the season go along and conferences that supposedly were not good, such as the Pac12 two years ago or the ACC last year can shock people with their performances in the NCAA tournament. My solution: mix the schedule so that conferences and non-conference games are played in all four months of the regular season and mathematically give more weight to December games over November games, January over December and the games played from February 1st onward over the January games. The worst performance against ranked teams so far is that of Mississippi Valley State (-83) Syracuse has +15 points. ACC Teams: Boston College +81 Virginia +76 North Carolina State +68 Virginia Tech +55 North Carolina +50 Wake Forest +49 Notre Dame +50 U of Miami +35 Florida State +21 Duke +20 Syracuse +15 Clemson +13 Pittsburgh +13 Georgia Tech -4 Louisville -55 WEEKLY CHAMPIONS: WEEK 1 Michigan State lost to #2 Gonzaga 63-64 = +23 WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43 WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38 WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 70-96 = +46 WEEK 5 Alabama beat #1 Houston 71-65 = +31 Illinois beat #2 Texas 85-78 = +31 WEEK 6 Kansas beat #14 Indiana 84-62 = +34 WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38 WEEK 8 Xavier beat #2 Connecticut 83-73 = +34 WEEK 9 North Carolina State beat #16 Duke 84-60 +34 Providence beat #4 Connecticut 73-61 = +34 Washington State beat #5 Arizona 74-61 = +34 WEEK 10 Oregon beat #9 Arizona 87-68 = +36 WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47 WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48 WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37 WEEK 14 Connecticut beat #10 Marquette 87-72 = +31 WEEK 14 Northwestern beat #1 Purdue 64-58 = +31 WEEK 14 Stanford beat #4 Arizona 88-79 = +31 WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37 WEEK 16 Boston College beat #6 Virginia 63-48 = +35 WEEK 17 Texas beat #3 Kansas 75-59 = +39 TOP TEN PERFORMANCES: WEEK 12 Oklahoma beat #2 Alabama 93-69 = +48 WEEK 11 Texas Christian beat #2 Kansas 83-60 = +47 WEEK 4 Marquette beat #6 Baylor 96-70 = +46 WEEK 2 Texas beat #2 Gonzaga 93-74 = +43 WEEK 17 Texas beat #3 Kansas 75-59 = +39 WEEK 2 Gonzaga beat #4 Kentucky 88-72 = +38 WEEK 3 Purdue beat #6 Gonzaga 84-66 = +38 WEEK 7 San Francisco beat #25 Arizona State 97-60 = +38 WEEK 3 Purdue beat #8 Duke 75-56 = +37 WEEK 3 Tennessee beat #3 Kansas 64-50 = +37 WEEK 4 Utah beat #4 Arizona 81-66 = +37 WEEK 13 Florida beat #2 Tennessee 67-54 = +37 WEEK 15 Maryland beat #3 Purdue 68-54 = +37 [/QUOTE]
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