SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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It occurred to me that with a new basketball season beginning I could do an “Against Ranked Teams” post for this sport, too. The margins of victory are similar to football. The formula is to first give each team that plays a ranked team from 1-25 points based on the ranking (I’ll use the writer’s poll) of their opponent. This chart shows you how many points they’d get for playing each team ranked at a certain level , (the ranking is first, the points, second):
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK SIX
Butler beat #9 Indiana 83-78 = 22 points
Kentucky beat #7 North Carolina 103-100 = 22 points
North Carolina lost to #6 Kentucky 100-103 = 17 points
Tennessee lost to #7 North Carolina 71-73 = 17 points
Oral Roberts lost to #10 Creighton 65-66 = 15 points
Seton Hall beat #16 South Carolina 67-64 = 13 points
Ohio State lost to #2 UCLA 73-86 = 11 points
Florida State beat #21 Florida 83-78 = 10 points
Purdue beat #21 Notre Dame 86-81 = 10 points
Notre Dame lost to #15 Purdue 81-86 = 6 points
Davidson lost to #3 Kansas 71-89 = 5 points
Wake Forest lost to #17 Xavier 65-69 = 5 points
Temple lost to #1 Villanova 57-78 = 4 points
Indiana lost to #18 Butler 78-83 = 3 points
Texas A&M lost to #19 Arizona 63-67 = 3 points
That Kentucky-North Carolina game was sure a summit meeting of blue-bloods. Remember when we used to play like that? …Don’t over-look Butler, who has their best team since their back-to-back trips to the title game. …UCLA also looks better than they have since their Final Four days.
Cumulative Top 25
Baylor 109 points
Kentucky 66 points
Indiana 62 points
Butler 58 points
Duke 47 points
North Carolina 46 points
Kansas 38 points
South Carolina 38 points
Purdue 35 points
UCLA 30 points
Creighton 29 points
Michigan State 29 points
Ohio State 29 points
West Virginia 29 points
Wisconsin 28 points
Texas-Arlington 28 points
Arizona 27 points
Colorado 27 points
Fort Wayne 26 points
Tennessee 26 points
Gonzaga 24 points
Louisville 24 points
Notre Dame 23 points
Rhode Island 22 points
Florida 20 points
Syracuse 0 points
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK SIX
Butler beat #9 Indiana 83-78 = 22 points
Kentucky beat #7 North Carolina 103-100 = 22 points
North Carolina lost to #6 Kentucky 100-103 = 17 points
Tennessee lost to #7 North Carolina 71-73 = 17 points
Oral Roberts lost to #10 Creighton 65-66 = 15 points
Seton Hall beat #16 South Carolina 67-64 = 13 points
Ohio State lost to #2 UCLA 73-86 = 11 points
Florida State beat #21 Florida 83-78 = 10 points
Purdue beat #21 Notre Dame 86-81 = 10 points
Notre Dame lost to #15 Purdue 81-86 = 6 points
Davidson lost to #3 Kansas 71-89 = 5 points
Wake Forest lost to #17 Xavier 65-69 = 5 points
Temple lost to #1 Villanova 57-78 = 4 points
Indiana lost to #18 Butler 78-83 = 3 points
Texas A&M lost to #19 Arizona 63-67 = 3 points
That Kentucky-North Carolina game was sure a summit meeting of blue-bloods. Remember when we used to play like that? …Don’t over-look Butler, who has their best team since their back-to-back trips to the title game. …UCLA also looks better than they have since their Final Four days.
Cumulative Top 25
Baylor 109 points
Kentucky 66 points
Indiana 62 points
Butler 58 points
Duke 47 points
North Carolina 46 points
Kansas 38 points
South Carolina 38 points
Purdue 35 points
UCLA 30 points
Creighton 29 points
Michigan State 29 points
Ohio State 29 points
West Virginia 29 points
Wisconsin 28 points
Texas-Arlington 28 points
Arizona 27 points
Colorado 27 points
Fort Wayne 26 points
Tennessee 26 points
Gonzaga 24 points
Louisville 24 points
Notre Dame 23 points
Rhode Island 22 points
Florida 20 points
Syracuse 0 points