SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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It occurred to me that with a new basketball season beginning I could do an “Against Ranked Teams” post for this sport, too. The margins of victory are similar to football. The formula is to first give each team that plays a ranked team from 1-25 points based on the ranking (I’ll use the writer’s poll) of their opponent. This chart shows you how many points they’d get for playing each team ranked at a certain level , (the ranking is first, the points, second):
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK SEVEN
Louisville beat #6 Kentucky 73-70 = 23 points
Kentucky lost to #10 Louisville 70-73 = 13 points
Tennessee State lost to #5 Duke 55-65 = 11 points
California lost to #12 Virginia 52-56 = 10 points
Elon lost to #5 Duke 61-72 = 10 points
Western Michigan lost to #2 UCLA 68-82 = 10 points
Arizona lost to #9 Creighton 85-96 - 6 points
Clemson beat #22 South Carolina 62-60 = 6 points
UNLV lost to #3 Kansas 53-71 = 5 points
Vermont lost to#13 Butler 69-81 = 1 point
Wyoming lost to #23 Southern California 92-94 = 1 point
Comments: It was alight holiday schedule with Louisville-Kentucky easily being the big game of the week. Soon we’ll be into the conference schedule and the lower majors will disappear from these listings. The points will take on greater meaning as we’ll have more ranked teams playing each oither.
Cumulative Totals
Top 25
Baylor 109 points
Kentucky 79 points
Indiana 62 points
Butler 58 points
Duke 47 points
Louisville 47 points
North Carolina 46 points
Kansas 38 points
South Carolina 38 points
Purdue 35 points
Arizona 33 points
UCLA 30 points
Creighton 29 points
Michigan State 29 points
Ohio State 29 points
West Virginia 29 points
Wisconsin 28 points
Texas-Arlington 28 points
Colorado 27 points
Fort Wayne 26 points
Tennessee 26 points
Gonzaga 24 points
Notre Dame 23 points
Rhode Island 22 points
Western Michigan 22 points
Syracuse 0 points
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1
I’ll call those “schedule points”. Then you look at the point differential in the game and apply it to the schedule points. If a team loses to the #1 ranked team by 10 points. They’d wind up with 15 points: 25 schedule points minus the ten points they lost by. If a team beats the #10 team by 5 points, they’d get 21 points: 16 schedule points plus the 5 points they won by. If a team lost to the #20 team by 6 points, they’d get nothing. The margin of defeat would cancel out their schedule points. If a team lost to the #25 team by 3 points, they get a zero. You can’t have negative points. You just failed in an attempt to get positive points.
I’ll figure the points based on games over the past week every Sunday and post them, along with cumulative season standings, just as I have done for football. As I said on that post, this is less a way of ranking than it is simply something you might want to look at in ranking them – or selecting them for a tournament. I recognize that rankings will change over the course of the season. I’m making the assumption that teams are worthy of the ranking they have at the time another team plays them. That may not always be true but a subsequent ranking may just reflect how good or bad a team has become since the game in question: they may have been as good as their ranking at the time.
WEEK SEVEN
Louisville beat #6 Kentucky 73-70 = 23 points
Kentucky lost to #10 Louisville 70-73 = 13 points
Tennessee State lost to #5 Duke 55-65 = 11 points
California lost to #12 Virginia 52-56 = 10 points
Elon lost to #5 Duke 61-72 = 10 points
Western Michigan lost to #2 UCLA 68-82 = 10 points
Arizona lost to #9 Creighton 85-96 - 6 points
Clemson beat #22 South Carolina 62-60 = 6 points
UNLV lost to #3 Kansas 53-71 = 5 points
Vermont lost to#13 Butler 69-81 = 1 point
Wyoming lost to #23 Southern California 92-94 = 1 point
Comments: It was alight holiday schedule with Louisville-Kentucky easily being the big game of the week. Soon we’ll be into the conference schedule and the lower majors will disappear from these listings. The points will take on greater meaning as we’ll have more ranked teams playing each oither.
Cumulative Totals
Top 25
Baylor 109 points
Kentucky 79 points
Indiana 62 points
Butler 58 points
Duke 47 points
Louisville 47 points
North Carolina 46 points
Kansas 38 points
South Carolina 38 points
Purdue 35 points
Arizona 33 points
UCLA 30 points
Creighton 29 points
Michigan State 29 points
Ohio State 29 points
West Virginia 29 points
Wisconsin 28 points
Texas-Arlington 28 points
Colorado 27 points
Fort Wayne 26 points
Tennessee 26 points
Gonzaga 24 points
Notre Dame 23 points
Rhode Island 22 points
Western Michigan 22 points
Syracuse 0 points