SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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The last few years I’ve attempted to quantify team’s performances against ranked teams, (historically a big factor in decisions made about getting into playoffs) with a system that gives points to teams for the ranking of their opponents and adds or subtracts the point differential in their games, (adds in a win, subtracts in a loss). The ‘ranking’ points are 25 for playing a #1 ranked team, 24 for playing a #2 ranked team, etc, down to 1 point for playing a 25th ranked team. These points are easily computed by subtracting the ranking number from 26, (26-1 = 25; 26-25 =1, etc). Over the course of the season, I add the points earned by each team in their games against ranked teams as a sort of standings but have always maintained that this is just one thing to look at in evaluating the team, not a final overall ranking.
I didn’t do that for this year’s football season because with some conferences opting out and then opting back in later in the seasons, the rankings were a mess. But everybody is playing basketball now, or trying to, so I’ve decided to keep track of performances against ranked teams in this sport. I’ve decided to add an extra wrinkle: I will keep track of the performances of the ranked teams themselves by totaling the points earned against them, with the +/- reversed. This will measure their performance “as a ranked team” We’ll see how that goes and I’ll decide whether to continue with that.
When ranked teams play each other, their only points will be under the first test. Otherwise the Duke-Kentucky game would look like this:
Duke beat #10 Kentucky 79-71: Duke +24 Kentucky -24
Kentucky lost to #9 Duke 71-79: Kentucky +9 Duke -9
That would give Duke +15 points and Kentucky -15 points. They should both get credit for playing each other in a competitive game. Giving Duke +24 points and Kentucky +9 makes more sense.)
WEEK #7 (12/20-27/21)
Tennessee beat #6 Arizona 77-73 Tennessee +24 both ranked
Villanova beat #18 Xavier 71-58 Villanova +21 both ranked
Davidson beat #10 Alabama 79-78 Davidson +17 Alabama -17
Virginia Tech lost to #2 Duke 65-76 Virginia Tech +13 Duke -13
Arizona lost to #19 Tennessee 73-77 Arizona +3 both ranked
Incarnate Word lost to #3 Purdue 59-79 Incarnate Word +3 Purdue -3
Oakland lost to #11 Michigan State 78-90 Oakland +3 Michigan State -3
Murray State lost to #12 Auburn 58-71 Murray State +1 Auburn -1
Xavier lost to #23 Villanova 58-71 Xavier -10 both ranked
Alcorn State lost to #1 Baylor 57-94 Alcorn State -12 Baylor +12
Chicago State lost to #9 Iowa State 48-79 Chicago State -14 Iowa State +14
Texas State lost to #13 Houston 47-80 Texas State -20 Houston +20
Northern Arizona lost to #4 Gonzaga 49-95 Northern Arizona -24 Gonzaga +24
Lipscomb lost to #17 Louisiana State 60-95 Lipscomb -26 Louisiana State +26
Western Kentucky lost to #20 Kentucky 60-95 Western Kentucky -29 Kentucky +29
Eastern Washington lost to #25 Texas Tech 46-78 Eastern Washington -31 Texas Tech +31
Top Ten Against Ranked Teams
Gonzaga +111
Villanova +80
Oklahoma +55
Creighton +52
Duke +52
Tennessee +52
Seton Hall +47
Brigham Young +46
Alabama +45
Purdue +44
The worst is NW Louisiana -63
Syracuse is -8. The following SU opponents (or potential opponents), are: Auburn -2, Clemson +1, Duke +52, Florida State -4, Georgia Tech -12, Lafayette -14, U of Miami -16, North Carolina +3, North Carolina St +15 Notre Dame +20 Villanova +80, Virginia -9 Virginia Commonwealth +9, Virginia Tech +22
Top Ten as a Ranked Team Against Unranked Teams
Houston +163
Auburn +115
Kentucky +107
Connecticut +94
Tennessee +93
Louisiana State +78
Gonzaga +70
Texas +69
Southern California +67
Baylor +65
The worst team is Michigan -96
Syracuse is not on this list yet. The following SU opponents (or potential opponents), are: Auburn +115 Duke +31, Florida State +29, North Carolina +12, Villanova -10, Virginia +20
I didn’t do that for this year’s football season because with some conferences opting out and then opting back in later in the seasons, the rankings were a mess. But everybody is playing basketball now, or trying to, so I’ve decided to keep track of performances against ranked teams in this sport. I’ve decided to add an extra wrinkle: I will keep track of the performances of the ranked teams themselves by totaling the points earned against them, with the +/- reversed. This will measure their performance “as a ranked team” We’ll see how that goes and I’ll decide whether to continue with that.
When ranked teams play each other, their only points will be under the first test. Otherwise the Duke-Kentucky game would look like this:
Duke beat #10 Kentucky 79-71: Duke +24 Kentucky -24
Kentucky lost to #9 Duke 71-79: Kentucky +9 Duke -9
That would give Duke +15 points and Kentucky -15 points. They should both get credit for playing each other in a competitive game. Giving Duke +24 points and Kentucky +9 makes more sense.)
WEEK #7 (12/20-27/21)
Tennessee beat #6 Arizona 77-73 Tennessee +24 both ranked
Villanova beat #18 Xavier 71-58 Villanova +21 both ranked
Davidson beat #10 Alabama 79-78 Davidson +17 Alabama -17
Virginia Tech lost to #2 Duke 65-76 Virginia Tech +13 Duke -13
Arizona lost to #19 Tennessee 73-77 Arizona +3 both ranked
Incarnate Word lost to #3 Purdue 59-79 Incarnate Word +3 Purdue -3
Oakland lost to #11 Michigan State 78-90 Oakland +3 Michigan State -3
Murray State lost to #12 Auburn 58-71 Murray State +1 Auburn -1
Xavier lost to #23 Villanova 58-71 Xavier -10 both ranked
Alcorn State lost to #1 Baylor 57-94 Alcorn State -12 Baylor +12
Chicago State lost to #9 Iowa State 48-79 Chicago State -14 Iowa State +14
Texas State lost to #13 Houston 47-80 Texas State -20 Houston +20
Northern Arizona lost to #4 Gonzaga 49-95 Northern Arizona -24 Gonzaga +24
Lipscomb lost to #17 Louisiana State 60-95 Lipscomb -26 Louisiana State +26
Western Kentucky lost to #20 Kentucky 60-95 Western Kentucky -29 Kentucky +29
Eastern Washington lost to #25 Texas Tech 46-78 Eastern Washington -31 Texas Tech +31
Top Ten Against Ranked Teams
Gonzaga +111
Villanova +80
Oklahoma +55
Creighton +52
Duke +52
Tennessee +52
Seton Hall +47
Brigham Young +46
Alabama +45
Purdue +44
The worst is NW Louisiana -63
Syracuse is -8. The following SU opponents (or potential opponents), are: Auburn -2, Clemson +1, Duke +52, Florida State -4, Georgia Tech -12, Lafayette -14, U of Miami -16, North Carolina +3, North Carolina St +15 Notre Dame +20 Villanova +80, Virginia -9 Virginia Commonwealth +9, Virginia Tech +22
Top Ten as a Ranked Team Against Unranked Teams
Houston +163
Auburn +115
Kentucky +107
Connecticut +94
Tennessee +93
Louisiana State +78
Gonzaga +70
Texas +69
Southern California +67
Baylor +65
The worst team is Michigan -96
Syracuse is not on this list yet. The following SU opponents (or potential opponents), are: Auburn +115 Duke +31, Florida State +29, North Carolina +12, Villanova -10, Virginia +20
