SWC75
Bored Historian
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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
Week 8
West Virginia beat #2 Ohio State 67-59 = +32 points
Kentucky beat #3 Louisville 78-70 = +31 points
Houston beat #21 Washington 75-71 = +9 points
Stanford lost to #5 Kansas 56-72 = +5 points
Navy lost to #16 Virginia 56-65 = +1 points
Bryant lost to #13 Maryland 70-84 = -1 point
Louisville lost to #19 Kentucky 70-78 = -1 points
Brown lost to #4 Duke 50-75 = -3 points
Ohio State lost to #22 West Virginia 59-67 = -4 points
Cal Poly lost to #15 San Diego State 57-73 = -5 points
Hawaii lost to #21 Washington 61-72 = -6 points
North Alabama lost to #17 Florida State 71-88 = -8 points
Lipscomb lost to #8 Auburn 59-86 = -9 points
UMASS-Lowell lost to #11 Michigan 60-86 = -11 points
CSU Bakersfield lost to #23 Texas Tech 58-73 = -12 points
Louisiana-Monroe lost to #12 Butler 36-67 = -17 points
Alabama State lost to #6 Oregon 59-98 = -19 points
Grambling lost to #18 Dayton 53-81 = -20 points
Western Michigan lost to #14 Michigan State 62-95 = -21 points
Cornell lost to #20 Penn State 59-90 = -25 points
New Orleans lost to #9 Memphis 55-97 = -25 points
Kennesaw State lost to #25 Iowa 51-93 = -41 points
Comments: T’was the night before Christmas an not a creature was stirring…It was a light Christmas week schedule and most of the games that were played were the last of the power conference teams vs. the mid and lower majors. Only west Virginia and Kentucky made significant gains.
Top 25
Ohio State +107 points
Michigan +79 points
Kentucky +78 points
Oregon +75 points
Purdue +59 points
Duke +52 points
Kansas +47 points
Baylor +46 points
Michigan State +46 points
Florida State +44 points
Gonzaga +42 points
Texas Tech +38 points
Georgetown +37 points
Louisville +37 points
North Carolina +37 points
Tennessee +37 points
Illinois +36 points
Minnesota +36 points
Seton Hall +36 points
Iowa +35 points
West Virginia +32 points
Virginia Tech +30 points
Evansville +28 points
South Carolina +28 points
Virginia +28 points
Syracuse has +1 point
SU’s opponents: Virginia +28, Colgate -22, Seattle -18, Cornell none, Bucknell none, Oklahoma State none, Penn State +17, Iowa +35, Georgia Tech +4, Georgetown +37, Oakland -11, North Florida -5, Niagara 0, Notre Dame +3, Virginia Tech +30, Virginia +28, Boston College none, Virginia Tech +30, Notre Dame +3, Pittsburgh +7, Clemson +1, Duke +52, Wake Forest -5, North Carolina State +13, Florida State +44, Louisville +37, Georgia Tech none, Pittsburgh +7, North Carolina +37, Boston College none, U of Miami +7
The worst team so far is Alabama State with -71 points. Don’t spend it all in one place…
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
Week 8
West Virginia beat #2 Ohio State 67-59 = +32 points
Kentucky beat #3 Louisville 78-70 = +31 points
Houston beat #21 Washington 75-71 = +9 points
Stanford lost to #5 Kansas 56-72 = +5 points
Navy lost to #16 Virginia 56-65 = +1 points
Bryant lost to #13 Maryland 70-84 = -1 point
Louisville lost to #19 Kentucky 70-78 = -1 points
Brown lost to #4 Duke 50-75 = -3 points
Ohio State lost to #22 West Virginia 59-67 = -4 points
Cal Poly lost to #15 San Diego State 57-73 = -5 points
Hawaii lost to #21 Washington 61-72 = -6 points
North Alabama lost to #17 Florida State 71-88 = -8 points
Lipscomb lost to #8 Auburn 59-86 = -9 points
UMASS-Lowell lost to #11 Michigan 60-86 = -11 points
CSU Bakersfield lost to #23 Texas Tech 58-73 = -12 points
Louisiana-Monroe lost to #12 Butler 36-67 = -17 points
Alabama State lost to #6 Oregon 59-98 = -19 points
Grambling lost to #18 Dayton 53-81 = -20 points
Western Michigan lost to #14 Michigan State 62-95 = -21 points
Cornell lost to #20 Penn State 59-90 = -25 points
New Orleans lost to #9 Memphis 55-97 = -25 points
Kennesaw State lost to #25 Iowa 51-93 = -41 points
Comments: T’was the night before Christmas an not a creature was stirring…It was a light Christmas week schedule and most of the games that were played were the last of the power conference teams vs. the mid and lower majors. Only west Virginia and Kentucky made significant gains.
Top 25
Ohio State +107 points
Michigan +79 points
Kentucky +78 points
Oregon +75 points
Purdue +59 points
Duke +52 points
Kansas +47 points
Baylor +46 points
Michigan State +46 points
Florida State +44 points
Gonzaga +42 points
Texas Tech +38 points
Georgetown +37 points
Louisville +37 points
North Carolina +37 points
Tennessee +37 points
Illinois +36 points
Minnesota +36 points
Seton Hall +36 points
Iowa +35 points
West Virginia +32 points
Virginia Tech +30 points
Evansville +28 points
South Carolina +28 points
Virginia +28 points
Syracuse has +1 point
SU’s opponents: Virginia +28, Colgate -22, Seattle -18, Cornell none, Bucknell none, Oklahoma State none, Penn State +17, Iowa +35, Georgia Tech +4, Georgetown +37, Oakland -11, North Florida -5, Niagara 0, Notre Dame +3, Virginia Tech +30, Virginia +28, Boston College none, Virginia Tech +30, Notre Dame +3, Pittsburgh +7, Clemson +1, Duke +52, Wake Forest -5, North Carolina State +13, Florida State +44, Louisville +37, Georgia Tech none, Pittsburgh +7, North Carolina +37, Boston College none, U of Miami +7
The worst team so far is Alabama State with -71 points. Don’t spend it all in one place…
