SWC75
Bored Historian
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(I missed this last week so i'm doing two weeks in one post now.)
This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.
I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK SEVEN
Arizona State beat #1 Kansas 80-76 = +29 points
Marquette beat #14 Buffalo 103-85 = +28 points
North Carolina State beat #7 Auburn 78-71 = +26 points
Duke beat #12 Texas Tech 69-58 = +25 points
Kentucky beat #9 North Carolina 80-72 = +25 points
Vanderbilt beat #18 Arizona State 81-65 = +24 points
Louisiana State beat #24 Furman 75-57 = +20 points
Akron lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 62-68 +14 points
Murray State lost to #7 Auburn 88-93 = +14 points
Texas Tech lost to #2 Duke 58-69 = +13 points
Samford lost to #3 Tennessee 70-83 = +10 points
Wright State lost to #17 Mississippi State 63-67 = +5 points
Kansas lost to #18 Arizona State 76-80 = +4 points
South Carolina lost to #5 Virginia 52-69 = +4 points
Wake Forest lost to #3 Tennessee 64-83 = +4 points
Air Force lost to #4 Michigan 50-71 = +1 point
North Florida lost to #11 Florida State 81-95 = +1 point
Syracuse lost to #14 Buffalo 59-71 = 0 points
North Carolina lost to #19 Kentucky 72-80 = -1 points
Southeast Missouri lost to #11 Florida State 68-85 = -2 points
Wofford lost to #17 Mississippi State 87-98 = -2 points
UCLA lost to #15 Ohio State 66-80 = -3 points
Utah State lost to #21 Houston 50-60 = -5 points
Saint Louis lost to #11 Florida State 59-81 = -7 points
Youngstown lost to #15 Ohio State 56-75 = -8 points
North Carolina A&T lost to #13 Virginia Tech 60-82 = -9 points
South Dakota lost to #1 Kansas 53-89 = -11 points
William & Mary lost to #5 Virginia 40-72 = -11 points
Buffalo lost to #20 Marquette 85-103 = -12 points
Oakland lost to #10 Michigan State 69-99 = -14 points
Western Carolina lost to #23 Iowa 60-78 = -15 points
UT Arlington lost to #8 Gonzaga 55-89 = -16 points
North Dakota lost to #20 Marquette 66-92 = -20 points
Grambling lost to #16 Wisconsin 53-84 = -21 points
Fullerton State lost to #25 Nebraska 62-86 = -23 points
Coppin State lost to #21 Houston 44-75 = -26 points
Jacksonville lost to #22 Indiana 64-94 = -26 points
Princeton lost to #2 Duke 50-101 = -27 points
Central Arkansas lost to #22 Indiana 53-86 = -29 points
Denver lost to #8 Gonzaga 40-101 = -43 points
Savannah State lost to #23 Iowa 64-110 = -43 points
Comments: I’m glad we will be getting into the conference seasons now and the games against the likes of Savannah State will be over. The games will take on greater meaning. That said, there were some interesting confrontations and the #1 team went down for the third time this season. SU negated the schedule points they got playing the #14 team by losing by the same margin. Akron (+21) now has more points than we do (+18)
WEEK EIGHT
Western Kentucky beat #15 Wisconsin 83-76 = +18 points
Princeton beat #17 Arizona State 67-66 = +10 points
Utah lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 71-86 = +5 points
Binghamton lost to #2 Michigan 52-74 = +2 points
Eastern Michigan lost to #5 Kansas 63-87 = -3 points
Bryant lost to #24 Iowa 59-80 = -3 points
Louisville lost to #16 Kentucky 58-71 = -3 points
High Point lost to #13 Ohio State 64-82 = -5 points
Canisius lost to #21 Buffalo 72-87 = -10 points
Davidson lost to #14 North Carolina 60-82 = -10 points
Northern Illinois lost to #8 Michigan State 60-88 = -10 points
Rio Grande Valley lost to #11 Texas Tech 46-71 = -10 points
Brigham Young lost to #19 Mississippi State 81-103 = -15 points
New Jersey Tech lost to #22 Houston 59-80 = -17 points
Tennessee Tech lost to #3 Tennessee 53-96 = -20 points
North Alabama lost to #7 Gonzaga 51-96 = -26 points
Loyola (Md.) lost to #20 North Carolina State 64-97 = -27 points
Maryland Eastern Shore lost to #10 Virginia Tech 40-85 = -29 points
North Florida lost to #12 Auburn 49-95 = -32 points
Southern University lost to #18 Marquette 41-84 = -35 points
Comments: At least, we’d reached the end of the scheduled blow-outs, although if SU doesn’t get it’s act together we might be remembering this period with fondness. But for “Against Ranked Teams” it was tepid period. (Week Eight had no impact on the Top 25.) Now it gets real.
THE TOP 25
Duke +128 points
Michigan +103 points
Marquette +88 points
Michigan State +79 points
North Carolina +62 points
Kansas +64 points
Arizona State +59 points
Tennessee +46 points
Gonzaga +44 points
Auburn +42 points
Wisconsin +33 points
Louisville +28 points
Indiana +27 points
Furman +26 points
North Carolina State +26 points
Oregon +26 points
Connecticut +25 points
Louisiana State +25 points
Vanderbilt +24 points
Akron +21 points
New Mexico State +21 points
Tulsa +21 points
Villanova +21 points
Northwestern +19 points
Purdue +19 points
Syracuse has +18 points
The worst total so far is Tennessee Tech with -104 points
This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.
I’m going to do it a bit differently this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference between this year and last year if that I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to try to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK SEVEN
Arizona State beat #1 Kansas 80-76 = +29 points
Marquette beat #14 Buffalo 103-85 = +28 points
North Carolina State beat #7 Auburn 78-71 = +26 points
Duke beat #12 Texas Tech 69-58 = +25 points
Kentucky beat #9 North Carolina 80-72 = +25 points
Vanderbilt beat #18 Arizona State 81-65 = +24 points
Louisiana State beat #24 Furman 75-57 = +20 points
Akron lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 62-68 +14 points
Murray State lost to #7 Auburn 88-93 = +14 points
Texas Tech lost to #2 Duke 58-69 = +13 points
Samford lost to #3 Tennessee 70-83 = +10 points
Wright State lost to #17 Mississippi State 63-67 = +5 points
Kansas lost to #18 Arizona State 76-80 = +4 points
South Carolina lost to #5 Virginia 52-69 = +4 points
Wake Forest lost to #3 Tennessee 64-83 = +4 points
Air Force lost to #4 Michigan 50-71 = +1 point
North Florida lost to #11 Florida State 81-95 = +1 point
Syracuse lost to #14 Buffalo 59-71 = 0 points
North Carolina lost to #19 Kentucky 72-80 = -1 points
Southeast Missouri lost to #11 Florida State 68-85 = -2 points
Wofford lost to #17 Mississippi State 87-98 = -2 points
UCLA lost to #15 Ohio State 66-80 = -3 points
Utah State lost to #21 Houston 50-60 = -5 points
Saint Louis lost to #11 Florida State 59-81 = -7 points
Youngstown lost to #15 Ohio State 56-75 = -8 points
North Carolina A&T lost to #13 Virginia Tech 60-82 = -9 points
South Dakota lost to #1 Kansas 53-89 = -11 points
William & Mary lost to #5 Virginia 40-72 = -11 points
Buffalo lost to #20 Marquette 85-103 = -12 points
Oakland lost to #10 Michigan State 69-99 = -14 points
Western Carolina lost to #23 Iowa 60-78 = -15 points
UT Arlington lost to #8 Gonzaga 55-89 = -16 points
North Dakota lost to #20 Marquette 66-92 = -20 points
Grambling lost to #16 Wisconsin 53-84 = -21 points
Fullerton State lost to #25 Nebraska 62-86 = -23 points
Coppin State lost to #21 Houston 44-75 = -26 points
Jacksonville lost to #22 Indiana 64-94 = -26 points
Princeton lost to #2 Duke 50-101 = -27 points
Central Arkansas lost to #22 Indiana 53-86 = -29 points
Denver lost to #8 Gonzaga 40-101 = -43 points
Savannah State lost to #23 Iowa 64-110 = -43 points
Comments: I’m glad we will be getting into the conference seasons now and the games against the likes of Savannah State will be over. The games will take on greater meaning. That said, there were some interesting confrontations and the #1 team went down for the third time this season. SU negated the schedule points they got playing the #14 team by losing by the same margin. Akron (+21) now has more points than we do (+18)
WEEK EIGHT
Western Kentucky beat #15 Wisconsin 83-76 = +18 points
Princeton beat #17 Arizona State 67-66 = +10 points
Utah lost to #6 Nevada-Reno 71-86 = +5 points
Binghamton lost to #2 Michigan 52-74 = +2 points
Eastern Michigan lost to #5 Kansas 63-87 = -3 points
Bryant lost to #24 Iowa 59-80 = -3 points
Louisville lost to #16 Kentucky 58-71 = -3 points
High Point lost to #13 Ohio State 64-82 = -5 points
Canisius lost to #21 Buffalo 72-87 = -10 points
Davidson lost to #14 North Carolina 60-82 = -10 points
Northern Illinois lost to #8 Michigan State 60-88 = -10 points
Rio Grande Valley lost to #11 Texas Tech 46-71 = -10 points
Brigham Young lost to #19 Mississippi State 81-103 = -15 points
New Jersey Tech lost to #22 Houston 59-80 = -17 points
Tennessee Tech lost to #3 Tennessee 53-96 = -20 points
North Alabama lost to #7 Gonzaga 51-96 = -26 points
Loyola (Md.) lost to #20 North Carolina State 64-97 = -27 points
Maryland Eastern Shore lost to #10 Virginia Tech 40-85 = -29 points
North Florida lost to #12 Auburn 49-95 = -32 points
Southern University lost to #18 Marquette 41-84 = -35 points
Comments: At least, we’d reached the end of the scheduled blow-outs, although if SU doesn’t get it’s act together we might be remembering this period with fondness. But for “Against Ranked Teams” it was tepid period. (Week Eight had no impact on the Top 25.) Now it gets real.
THE TOP 25
Duke +128 points
Michigan +103 points
Marquette +88 points
Michigan State +79 points
North Carolina +62 points
Kansas +64 points
Arizona State +59 points
Tennessee +46 points
Gonzaga +44 points
Auburn +42 points
Wisconsin +33 points
Louisville +28 points
Indiana +27 points
Furman +26 points
North Carolina State +26 points
Oregon +26 points
Connecticut +25 points
Louisiana State +25 points
Vanderbilt +24 points
Akron +21 points
New Mexico State +21 points
Tulsa +21 points
Villanova +21 points
Northwestern +19 points
Purdue +19 points
Syracuse has +18 points
The worst total so far is Tennessee Tech with -104 points
