SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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This year I will be again charting how teams have done “against ranked teams”, which is something that always comes up at the end of the year when the arguments over who should be in the NCAA tournament start. As usual, this is not meant to end those arguments, just to give those making them something to look at in forming their opinions. This is just one thing to look at. But I think it’s a big thing.
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 19
San Francisco lost to #2 Gonzaga 77-81 = +20 points
St. Mary’s beat #14 Brigham Young 51-50 = +13 points
St. Mary’s lost to #2 Gonzaga 66-84 = +6 points
Comment:
Top 25
Michigan State +169 points
Ohio State +163 points
Creighton +160 points
Purdue +154 points
Texas Tech +143 points
Baylor +135 points
Iowa +127 points
Kansas +123 points
Virginia +121 points
Florida State +120 points
Seton Hall +120 points
Providence +117 points
Rutgers +114 points
Kentucky +106 points
Oklahoma +105 points
Oregon +99 points
Michigan +95 points
West Virginia +92 points
Florida +88 points
Villanova +88 points
Duke +84 points
Wisconsin +83 points
Clemson +81 points
Marquette +79 points
Georgetown +74 points
Syracuse has +31 points
SU’s opponents: Virginia +121, Colgate -22, Seattle -18, Cornell -25, Bucknell none, Oklahoma State +2, Penn State +58, Iowa +127, Georgia Tech +31, Georgetown +74, Oakland -24, North Florida -17, Niagara 0, Notre Dame +35, Virginia Tech +17, Virginia +121, Boston College +15, Virginia Tech +17, Notre Dame +35, Pittsburgh +25, Clemson +81, Duke +84, Wake Forest +41, North Carolina State +62, Florida State +120, Louisville +67, Georgia Tech +58, Pittsburgh +25, North Carolina +65, Boston College +15, U of Miami -2, North Carolina +65
The worst team so far is Alabama State with -71 points. Don’t spend it all in one place…
I will again be using my “new procedure” this year. The old procedure was that I would first grant teams playing ranked teams a certain number of points based on who they are playing. If you played the #1 team, (I use the AP- writer’s poll for continuity), you get 25 points. If you are playing the #2 team, you get 24 points, etc. down to getting 1 point for playing the #25 team. I call these “schedule points”. Here’s a chart to make it simple:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
(Of course you can always just subtract the ranking from 26. That will work every time.)
Then I look at the point differential in the actual game. If you defeated the ranked team, you add the number of points you won by to the schedule points. If you lost to that team, you subtract the margin you lost by from the schedule points. (I call these ‘game’ points.) The difference is that formerly I didn’t count any deficit: if you got to zero, you got zero. This year I’m going to record negative points, too, so a team can get full ‘credit’ for a really bad performance.
WEEK 19
San Francisco lost to #2 Gonzaga 77-81 = +20 points
St. Mary’s beat #14 Brigham Young 51-50 = +13 points
St. Mary’s lost to #2 Gonzaga 66-84 = +6 points
Comment:
Top 25
Michigan State +169 points
Ohio State +163 points
Creighton +160 points
Purdue +154 points
Texas Tech +143 points
Baylor +135 points
Iowa +127 points
Kansas +123 points
Virginia +121 points
Florida State +120 points
Seton Hall +120 points
Providence +117 points
Rutgers +114 points
Kentucky +106 points
Oklahoma +105 points
Oregon +99 points
Michigan +95 points
West Virginia +92 points
Florida +88 points
Villanova +88 points
Duke +84 points
Wisconsin +83 points
Clemson +81 points
Marquette +79 points
Georgetown +74 points
Syracuse has +31 points
SU’s opponents: Virginia +121, Colgate -22, Seattle -18, Cornell -25, Bucknell none, Oklahoma State +2, Penn State +58, Iowa +127, Georgia Tech +31, Georgetown +74, Oakland -24, North Florida -17, Niagara 0, Notre Dame +35, Virginia Tech +17, Virginia +121, Boston College +15, Virginia Tech +17, Notre Dame +35, Pittsburgh +25, Clemson +81, Duke +84, Wake Forest +41, North Carolina State +62, Florida State +120, Louisville +67, Georgia Tech +58, Pittsburgh +25, North Carolina +65, Boston College +15, U of Miami -2, North Carolina +65
The worst team so far is Alabama State with -71 points. Don’t spend it all in one place…
