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Against Ranked Teams- Football Week 13
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1976866, member: 289"] We often hear teams being evaluated at the end of the season by how they did “against ranked teams”. A couple of years ago I came up with a simple system for evaluating this, one with an acknowledged flaw but which nonetheless produced interesting results so I’ll do it again this year. The system is very simple. First I hand out points to teams based on the ranking of their opponent. If you play the #1 ranked team, you get 25 points for playing such a powerful team. You get 24 points for playing the #2 team, 23 for playing the #3 team, etc. I’ll call them schedule points. Here’s a chart to make it easy: 1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1. That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points. I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents. If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system). I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standings, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful than early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams. WEEK # 13 (November 24-26, 2016) Iowa beat #16 Nebraska 40-10 = 40 points Alabama beat #13 Auburn 30-12 = 31 points Washington beat #23 Washington State 45-17 = 31 points Florida State beat #15 Florida 31-13 = 29 points Ohio State beat #3 Michigan 30-27 = 26 points Michigan lost to #2 Ohio State 27-30 = 21 points Vanderbilt beat #17 Tennessee 45-34 = 20 points Kentucky beat #11 Louisville 41-38 = 18 points Air Force beat #19 Boise State 27-20 = 14 points Utah lost to #9 Colorado 22-27 = 12 points Memphis beat #20 Houston 48-44 = 10 points Colorado beat #22 Utah 27-22 = 9 points Auburn lost to #1 Alabama 12-30 = 7 points Minnesota lost to #6 Wisconsin 17-31 = 6 points Comments: Ohio State barely won the big won but they won it and it was a big one. Washington seems to have made a full comeback from their defeat against USC. Florida State may finally have become the team everybody through they were going to be, a bit late. Nobody’s going to catch Alabama in these standings. SEASON STANDINGS Alabama 212 points Ohio State 143 points Wisconsin 122 points Washington 114 points Auburn 100 points Mississippi 95 points Florida State 92 points Louisville 82 points Houston 80 points Texas A&M 77 points Arkansas 74 points Iowa 72 points Louisiana State 64 points Oklahoma State 55 points Oklahoma 54 points Michigan State 53 points Texas Christian 49 points Georgia 48 points Clemson 46 points Michigan 46 points Southern California 46 points Texas 45 points Indiana 40 points Virginia Tech 40 points Southern Methodist 37 points Washington State 37 points California 35 points North Carolina 33 points Mississippi State 32 points Colorado 31 points Vanderbilt 30 points Penn State 27 points Utah 27 points Georgia Tech 26 points Navy 26 points Pittsburgh 25 points South Alabama 24 points Duke 23 points Syracuse 23 points Tennessee 23 points Northwestern 20 points Florida 18 points Kentucky 18 points Troy 18 points South Carolina 17 points Nebraska 16 points North Carolina State 16 points Oregon 16 points Virginia 16 points Nicholls State 15 points North Dakota State 15 points Texas Tech 15 points Wyoming 15 points Air Force 14 points Iowa State 12 points Brigham Young 11 points Georgia State 11 points South Florida 11 points UCLA 11 points Appalachian State 10 points Arizona 10 points Memphis 10 points Missouri 9 points Central Michigan 7 points Kansas State 7 points Colorado State 6 points Minnesota 6 points Notre Dame 6 points Tulsa 6 points Purdue 5 points U of Miami 2 points Ohio University 2 points Wake Forest 1 point [/QUOTE]
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