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Against Ranked Teams - Week 10
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1943562, member: 289"] We often hear teams being evaluated at the end of the season by how they did “against ranked teams”. A couple of years ago I came up with a simple system for evaluating this, one with an acknowledged flaw but which nonetheless produced interesting results so I’ll do it again this year. The system is very simple. First I hand out points to teams based on the ranking of their opponent. If you play the #1 ranked team, you get 25 points for playing such a powerful team. You get 24 points for playing the #2 team, 23 for playing the #3 team, etc. I’ll call them schedule points. Here’s a chart to make it easy: 1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1. That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points. I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents. If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system). I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standings, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful than early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams. WEEK #10 (November 3-5, 2016) Ohio State beat #10 Nebraska 62-3 75 points Texas Christian beat #17 Baylor 62-22 49 points Arkansas beat #11 Florida 31-10 36 points Mississippi State beat #4 Texas A&M 35-28 29 points Alabama beat #13 Louisiana State 10-0 23 points Louisiana State lost to #1 Alabama 0-10 15 points Vanderbilt lost to #9 Auburn 16-23 10 points Duke lost to #19 Virginia Tech 21-24 4 points Northwestern lost to #8 Wisconsin 7-12 4 points Iowa State lost to #14 Oklahoma 24-34 2 points Kansas State lost to Oklahoma State 37-43 2 points UCLA lost to #15 Colorado 10-20 1 point Comments: Ohio State’s 59 point crushing of #10 Nebraska earned them the most points of any team in any game since I’ve been keeping track of this, (I started in 2013), breaking their own record from their 59 win over #13 Wisconsin in the 2014 Big Ten title game. The top teams all won blow-outs but there were a number of more competitive games behind that that earned several teams points. Alabama has earned their #1 ranking but Auburn could give them trouble and whoever else will be in the playoff will be a formidable team. SEASON STANDINGS Alabama 181 points Wisconsin 122 points Ohio State 117 points Auburn 93 points Louisville 82 points Texas A&M 77 points Mississippi 76 points Arkansas 74 points Washington 73 points Florida State 63 points Ohio State 58 points Oklahoma State 55 points Texas Christian 49 points Clemson 46 points Virginia Tech 40 points Texas 39 points Southern Methodist 37 points Washington State 37 points California 35 points Louisiana State 35 points Houston 33 points North Carolina 33 points Mississippi State 32 points Michigan State 30 points Penn State 27 points Indiana 26 points Navy 26 points Georgia 25 points Michigan 25 points South Alabama 24 points Syracuse 23 points Tennessee 23 points Northwestern 20 points Troy 18 points South Carolina 17 points Nebraska 16 points North Carolina State 16 points Virginia 16 points Nicholls State 15 points North Dakota State 15 points Utah 15 points Wyoming 15 points Oklahoma 14 points Duke 13 points Iowa State 12 points Brigham Young 11 points Georgia State 11 points Southern California 11 points South Florida 11 points UCLA 11 points Appalachian State 10 points Arizona 10 points Vanderbilt 10 points Missouri 9 points Iowa 8 points Central Michigan 7 points Kansas State 7 points Colorado State 6 points Notre Dame 6 points Tulsa 6 points Purdue 5 points Colorado 4 points Texas Tech 3 points Florida 2 points Georgia Tech 2 points U of Miami 2 points Ohio University 2 points Wake Forest 1 point [/QUOTE]
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Against Ranked Teams - Week 10
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