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Against Ranked teams Week 12 (football)
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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1967320, member: 289"] We often hear teams being evaluated at the end of the season by how they did “against ranked teams”. A couple of years ago I came up with a simple system for evaluating this, one with an acknowledged flaw but which nonetheless produced interesting results so I’ll do it again this year. The system is very simple. First I hand out points to teams based on the ranking of their opponent. If you play the #1 ranked team, you get 25 points for playing such a powerful team. You get 24 points for playing the #2 team, 23 for playing the #3 team, etc. I’ll call them schedule points. Here’s a chart to make it easy: 1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1. That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points. I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents. If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system). I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standings, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful than early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams. WEEK # 12 (November 17-19, 2016) Houston beat #5 Louisville 36-10 47 points Oklahoma beat #14 West Virginia 56-28 40 points Michigan State lost to #2 Ohio State 16-17 23 points Colorado beat #22 Washington State 38-24 18 points Florida beat #16 Louisiana State 16-10 16 points Oregon beat #12 Utah 30-28 16 points Indiana lost to #3 Michigan 10-20 13 points Not a lot of games that produced points this week: it’s the week before the rivalry games and many top teams schedule lesser opponents in that week. Houston moved up to #8 on our list. Oklahoma, (now 54 points) got cozy with Oklahoma State (55). Interestingly,. Michigan State, despite their hugely disappointing record, (3-8), has only one less point than Oklahoma (53). They’ve lost three games by four points or less, beat Notre Dame when they were ranked and played both Michigan and Ohio State tough. SEASON STANDINGS Alabama 181 points Wisconsin 122 points Ohio State 117 points Mississippi 95 points Auburn 93 points Louisville 82 points Houston 80 points Texas A&M 77 points Arkansas 74 points Washington 73 points Louisiana State 64 points Florida State 63 points Oklahoma State 55 points Oklahoma 54 points Michigan State 53 points Texas Christian 49 points Georgia 48 points Clemson 46 points Southern California 46 points Texas 45 points Indiana 40 points Virginia Tech 40 points Southern Methodist 37 points Washington State 37 points California 35 points North Carolina 33 points Iowa 32 points Mississippi State 32 points Penn State 27 points Georgia Tech 26 points Navy 26 points Michigan 25 points Pittsburgh 25 points South Alabama 24 points Duke 23 points Syracuse 23 points Tennessee 23 points Colorado 22 points Northwestern 20 points Florida 18 points Troy 18 points South Carolina 17 points Nebraska 16 points North Carolina State 16 points Oregon 16 points Virginia 16 points Nicholls State 15 points North Dakota State 15 points Texas Tech 15 points Utah 15 points Wyoming 15 points Iowa State 12 points Brigham Young 11 points Georgia State 11 points South Florida 11 points UCLA 11 points Appalachian State 10 points Arizona 10 points Vanderbilt 10 points Missouri 9 points Central Michigan 7 points Kansas State 7 points Colorado State 6 points Notre Dame 6 points Tulsa 6 points Purdue 5 points U of Miami 2 points Ohio University 2 points Wake Forest 1 point [/QUOTE]
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Against Ranked teams Week 12 (football)
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