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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 1986080, member: 289"]
We often hear teams being evaluated at the end of the season by how they did “against ranked teams”. A couple of years ago I came up with a simple system for evaluating this, one with an acknowledged flaw but which nonetheless produced interesting results so I’ll do it again this year.

The system is very simple. First I hand out points to teams based on the ranking of their opponent. If you play the #1 ranked team, you get 25 points for playing such a powerful team. You get 24 points for playing the #2 team, 23 for playing the #3 team, etc. I’ll call them schedule points. Here’s a chart to make it easy:

1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.

That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a  ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points.  I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents.  If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system).

I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standings, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful than early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams.

WEEK #14

Alabama beat #15 Florida 54-16 =                                             49 points
Washington beat #8 Colorado 41-10 =                                    49 points
Oklahoma beat #10 Oklahoma State 38-20 =                        34 points
Temple beat #19 Navy 34-10 =                                                   31 points  
Penn State beat #6 Wisconsin 38-31 =                                   27 points
Virginia Tech lost to #3 Clemson 35-42 =                                                16 points
Wisconsin lost to #7 Penn State 31-38 =                                                 12 points
Clemson beat #23 Virginia Tech 42-35 =                                                 10 points
Baylor lost to #16 West Virginia 21-24 =                                   7 points
Ohio U. lost to #17 Western Michigan  23-29 =                     3 points

Comment: People are talking about Penn State getting in over Washington  because of their more difficult non-conference schedule and they won the toughest division – the Big 10 East. But they have only 54 points vs. ranked teams and Washington has 163, second to Alabama. Ohio State is third with 143. Clemson has only 56 points. And Michigan only 46. Oklahoma has 88 points. Just sayin’

SEASON STANDINGS

Alabama                              261 points
Washington                        163 points
Ohio State                           143 points
Wisconsin                            134 points
Auburn                                 100 points
Mississippi                          95 points
Florida State                       92 points
Oklahoma                           88 points
Louisville                              82 points
Houston                               80 points
Texas A&M                         77 points
Arkansas                              74 points
Iowa                                      72 points
Louisiana State                  64 points
Clemson                              56 points
Virginia Tech                      56 points
Oklahoma State                                55 points
Penn State                          54 points
Michigan State                  53 points
Texas Christian                  49 points
Georgia                                                48 points
Michigan                              46 points
Southern California         46 points
Texas                                    45 points
Indiana                                 40 points
Southern Methodist       37 points
Washington State            37 points
California                             35 points
North Carolina                   33 points
Mississippi State               32 points
Colorado                              31 points
Temple                                 31 points
Vanderbilt                           30 points
Utah                                      27 points
Georgia Tech                     26 points
Navy                                      26 points
Pittsburgh                           25 points
South Alabama                 24 points
Duke                                     23 points
Syracuse                              23 points
Tennessee                          23 points
Northwestern                   20 points
Florida                                  18 points
Kentucky                             18 points
Troy                                       18 points
South Carolina                   17 points
Nebraska                             16 points
North Carolina State       16 points
Oregon                                 16 points
Virginia                                 16 points
Nicholls                State                    15 points
North Dakota State         15 points
Texas Tech                          15 points
Wyoming                             15 points
Air Force                              14 points
Iowa State                          12 points
Brigham Young                  11 points
Georgia State                    11 points
South Florida                     11 points
UCLA                                     11 points
Appalachian State            10 points
Arizona                                 10 points
Memphis                             10 points
Missouri                                9 points
Baylor                                    7 points
Central Michigan                7 points
Kansas State                        7 points
Colorado State                    6 points
Minnesota                            6 points
Notre Dame                        6 points
Tulsa                                        6 points
Ohio University                  5 points
Purdue                                  5 points
U of Miami                            2 points
Wake Forest                        1 point
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