SWC75
Bored Historian
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- Aug 26, 2011
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The system is very simple. First I hand out points to teams based on the ranking of their opponent. If you play the #1 ranked team, you get 25 points for playing such a powerful team. You get 24 points for playing the #2 team, 23 for playing the #3 team, etc. I’ll call them schedule points. Here’s a chart to make it easy:
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points. I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents. If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system).
I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standing, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful that early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams.
WEEK FOUR
Utah beat #13 Oregon 62-20 13 + 42 = 55 points
UCLA beat #16 Arizona 56-30 10 + 26 = 36 points
Michigan beat #22 Brigham Young 31-0 4 + 31 = 35 points
Duke beat #20 Georgia Tech 34-20 6 + 14 = 20 points
Texas Tech lost to #3(tied) Texas Christian 52-55 23-3 = 20 points
Vanderbilt lost to #3(tied) Mississippi 16-27 23-11 = 12 points
Kentucky beat #25 Missouri 21-13 1 + 8 = 9 points
Syracuse lost to #8 Louisiana State 24-34 18-10 = 8 points
Arkansas lost to #14 Texas A&M 21-28 12-7 = 5 points
Ball State lost to #17 Northwestern 19-24 9-5 = 4 points
Central Michigan lost to #2 Michigan State 10-30 24-20 = 4 points
Comment: The Ute’s made Foie gras of the Ducks in their own kitchen but it wasn’t the most impressive victory of the three years I’ve been keeping track of this:
12/6/14 Ohio State beat #13 Wisconsin 59-0 = 72 points
10/5/13 Florida State beat #25 Maryland 63-0 = 64 points
10/18/14 Alabama beat #21 Texas A&M 59-0 = 64 points
10/19/13 Florida State beat #3 Clemson 51-14 = 60 points
12/5/14 Oregon beat #7 Arizona 51-13 = 57 points
SEASON TOTALS
Utah 55 points
UCLA 44 points
Louisiana State 35 points
Michigan 35 points
Brigham Young 32 points
Texas A&M 32 points
Mississippi 30 points
Stanford 30 points
Alabama 29 points
Louisville 25 points
Michigan State 22 points
Notre Dame 22 points
Duke 20 points
Texas Tech 20 points
Northern Illinois 18 points
Oregon 18 points
Minnesota 17 points
Northwestern 15 points
Jacksonville St. 13 points
Toledo 12 points
Vanderbilt 12 points
Georgia Tech 10 points
Mississippi State 10 points
Oklahoma 10 points
Virginia 10 points
Kentucky 9 points
Syracuse 8 points
Western Michigan 8 points
Air Force 7 points
Virginia Tech 7 points
Wisconsin 6 points
Arkansas 5 points
Ball State 4 points
Central Michigan 4 points
Southern Methodist 4 points
Boston College 3 points
Connecticut 1 point
1-25, 2-24, 3-23, 4-22, 5-21, 6-20, 7-19, 8-18, 9-17, 10-16, 11-15, 12-14, 13-13, 14-12, 15-11, 16-10, 17-9, 18-8, 19-7, 20-6, 21-5, 22-4, 23-3, 24-2, 25-1.
That’s step one. Now we play the games and see how these teams actually do on the field. What cued me into this is that most games will be won or lost by 25 points or less, so the points involved are comparable. You just compare the point differential to the points teams have gotten for playing a ranked opponent. If they beat the ranked opponent, their points will grow by the margin of victory. If they lose, you subtract the margin of victory from the schedule points. If that reduces them to zero or less, they get zero points. I’m not going to deal with minus points, just add up the positive points earned, or else my rankings would be cluttered up with a lot of inferior teams who were below the Mendoza line because they’d gotten blown out by their ranked opponents. If you play the #1 team and lose by 21 points, you’ll get 4 points: 25 schedule points minus the 21 points you lost by. If you play the #10 team and lose by 13 points, you’ll get three points. If you play the #15 team and lose by 14 points, you’ll get nothing, (11-14 = 0 in this system).
I’ll record the points earned each week and how the teams got them and add them up over the course of the season. That will show us how each team did “against ranked teams”. Like all cumulative standing, they will sort themselves out as the season goes on and come more and more into focus. Later listings will be more meaningful that early ones as more and more teams get through the meat of their schedules. The cumulative listing should I think be less a ranking of teams than a statistic you look at in determining where to rank the teams.
WEEK FOUR
Utah beat #13 Oregon 62-20 13 + 42 = 55 points
UCLA beat #16 Arizona 56-30 10 + 26 = 36 points
Michigan beat #22 Brigham Young 31-0 4 + 31 = 35 points
Duke beat #20 Georgia Tech 34-20 6 + 14 = 20 points
Texas Tech lost to #3(tied) Texas Christian 52-55 23-3 = 20 points
Vanderbilt lost to #3(tied) Mississippi 16-27 23-11 = 12 points
Kentucky beat #25 Missouri 21-13 1 + 8 = 9 points
Syracuse lost to #8 Louisiana State 24-34 18-10 = 8 points
Arkansas lost to #14 Texas A&M 21-28 12-7 = 5 points
Ball State lost to #17 Northwestern 19-24 9-5 = 4 points
Central Michigan lost to #2 Michigan State 10-30 24-20 = 4 points
Comment: The Ute’s made Foie gras of the Ducks in their own kitchen but it wasn’t the most impressive victory of the three years I’ve been keeping track of this:
12/6/14 Ohio State beat #13 Wisconsin 59-0 = 72 points
10/5/13 Florida State beat #25 Maryland 63-0 = 64 points
10/18/14 Alabama beat #21 Texas A&M 59-0 = 64 points
10/19/13 Florida State beat #3 Clemson 51-14 = 60 points
12/5/14 Oregon beat #7 Arizona 51-13 = 57 points
SEASON TOTALS
Utah 55 points
UCLA 44 points
Louisiana State 35 points
Michigan 35 points
Brigham Young 32 points
Texas A&M 32 points
Mississippi 30 points
Stanford 30 points
Alabama 29 points
Louisville 25 points
Michigan State 22 points
Notre Dame 22 points
Duke 20 points
Texas Tech 20 points
Northern Illinois 18 points
Oregon 18 points
Minnesota 17 points
Northwestern 15 points
Jacksonville St. 13 points
Toledo 12 points
Vanderbilt 12 points
Georgia Tech 10 points
Mississippi State 10 points
Oklahoma 10 points
Virginia 10 points
Kentucky 9 points
Syracuse 8 points
Western Michigan 8 points
Air Force 7 points
Virginia Tech 7 points
Wisconsin 6 points
Arkansas 5 points
Ball State 4 points
Central Michigan 4 points
Southern Methodist 4 points
Boston College 3 points
Connecticut 1 point