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[QUOTE="upperdeck, post: 4329376, member: 474"]
just reviewing games where fumbles were recovered from 2010 by the SU Defense.  So 12 years of data across a bunch of styles and opps.  We avg 6-8 games of recovering a fumble.    And then suddenly 2..    This is just games, not total fumbles..   So on avg we would expect to recover around 10+ fumbles in   season..  Makes you wonder if you sprinkle 8 more into last year how those games get changed..  And its not like teams didnt fumble against us..  We had upwards of 5 in a game not get recovered last year. Strange trend when you go back that far and its always between 6 and 8 games we saw it happen..   It would suggest we should see a few this year.

2021  - 2
2020  - 8
2019  - 7
2018  - 7
2017  - 7
2016  - 6
2015  - 7
2014  - 7
2013  - 7
2012  - 8
2011  - 6
2010  - 6

If you review INTs it was much the same..

4 last yr
the previous yrs were 8,7,12,3,9,8,6,11,7,7,5

Historically low number of games with things going our way.  we had 8 years of 5-8 Int games. a couple high 1 low year over that same time period.

You add those 2 things up and we would have expected about 10-15 turnovers more pretty consistently.
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