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Message: [QUOTE="teamco, post: 1359161, member: 4245"] Johnson and Jefferson are not necessarily the correct comparisons. Looking at them reflects survivor bias, i.e. making a comparison to those who DID make the league. The correct comparison is to the entire universe of players who came out early. Let's look at the 2013 NBA draft, just because that happens to be the most recent one I could easily find statistics for- I think it is typical for the purposes of this discussion. Of 47 players who left school with eligibility remaining to put their name into the NBA Draft, 20 failed to make an NBA roster in their first seasons as professionals. Simply getting drafted was not necessarily enough either, as 11 of the 30 second round picks did not make an NBA roster as of the start of that season. Some of those who failed to make the cut are former all-americans who had to head overseas or to the D-League to try and land a contract. Deshaun Thomas, and Lorenzo Brown were both drafted and cut, as was Alex Oriakhi. Myck Kabongo, B.J. Young, C.J. Leslie, Adonis Thomas and Vander Blue went undrafted and couldn’t play their way onto a roster. Then there were kids like C.J. Aiken or DeWayne Dedmon or Nurideen Lindsay, talented kids that just had no shot of getting drafted. Perhaps the biggest head scratcher from the 2013 draft was Grant Jerrett. A former five-star recruit, Jerrett spent one relatively unproductive season at Arizona, but after seeing head coach Sean Miller recruit over him and bring in Aaron Gordon, Jerrett went pro. The 6-foot-9 shooter was picked 40th but ended up getting cut and heading to the D-League. So, good luck to CMac. I just think he could have polished his earnings prospects greatly by spending at least another year at Syracuse working on his game and body and coming out with greater demand than he currently enjoys. In that sense I think of him as the polar opposite of Tyler Ennis. Ennis rode his better than anticipated single season at Syracuse, and resulting stronger than expected interest in him, into a first round selection in the draft. Ennis signed a 2 year $3,253,080 guaranteed contract with the Phoenix Suns. CMac? Seems on a not very well thought out bums rush to get to a pay day. I think coming out after the year he had is signing up for a boatload more financial uncertainty than could otherwise have been the case if he stayed and established some solid bona fides. But that is just my opinion- not as a Syracuse fan, which I am, but from a dollars and cents (or sense) business perspective. [/QUOTE]

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