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[QUOTE="richmondcuse03, post: 5692573, member: 984"]
The economics do not currently work. The AGI projections are also way too optimistic but the economics are easier to discuss.

You either have to drastically reduce the input costs (eg energy, compute, data labeling) or drastically increase the costs. There are zero signs that energy or computer are decreasing even with Moore’s Law. And the data labeling companies all say their needs are only
Increasing. Something has to give. It’s just math.

Just look at the projections these companies have made. They’re continuing to raise huge sums of money they hadn’t anticipated. Their projections going out four years require a giant leap of faith. And most notably they require drastically increasing prices. That’s the part nobody talks about.

Early investors are subsidizing the costs in hope that people get hooked and pay more down the road. It’s hard to see them losing costs by the magnitude they need to become profitable. So the cost side is going to increase. how much remains to be seen.

I test a lot of AI tools to stay ahead of things and I encounter many, many issues on a daily basis. For certain things - I can save time. For others I am constantly double checking work and finding lots of issues, even with advanced solutions. I worry when companies have AI agents autonomously making changes. We’re going to see a lot of downtime issues caused by these tools without proper controls in place. Too many “leaders” put faith in some tools that aren’t ready.

I’ve been able to speak with some of the smartest minds in this space. And I think several of them are sociopaths I wouldn’t trust in my house.
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