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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 3318929, member: 1969"]
I can't agree fully agree with your assessment in the thread title.  This year's risk of bubble busters in the last week is a bit below average than prior years.  I think you are overstating the risk of bubble busters from power conferences where the risk is always below that line.

There is really only 3 things to watch this week if you are a bubble team.
1) The A-10 Tourney as usual, but since Dayton is so good the risk is a bit lower this year  Hope Dayton wins.  If not Richmond as they may also possibly in.  The big dangers are VCU, Rhode Island, St Louis.,

2) The AAC Tourney as usual.   Hope Houston wins, if not Wichita St or Cincy as they are both straddling the line..   one of those three wins, you probably end up in the same scenario of 2 teams getting, although 3 is a risk.   So while Wichita St and Cincy are problems, the real crap disturbers would be UConn, Tulsa and Memphis.

3) East Tennessee St is the only low mid major with a shot at an-large that is playing this week, and they are not a guaranteed at large.

Other points:
The MWC and WCC are often risks, but arguably Utah St may have already been in.  The WCC is no risk this year (Gonzaga, BYU, or St Mary's one of them is about 99% certain of winning0

P5+BE conferences are always no or micro risk.  A little higher this year because of UNC, but still a very small risk.  (Less than 10%)

Northern Iowa is hanging around watching if they can get an at-large after losing the MVC tournament but general consensus is they are not getting in.
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