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[QUOTE="SWC75, post: 3128984, member: 289"]
After the Braves series (9/27-29/19)

METS
Single-                  188
Double-                                112
Triple-                   12
Home Run-         373
Walk-                    15
Balk-                      1
Out-                       35
Error-                    15
Sac Fly-                 26
Sac Bunt-
Wild Pitch-          3
Passed Ball-
Hit by Pitch-        4
The Mets have scored 791 runs so 47% are from home runs

OTHER GUYS
Single-                  195
Double-                                129
Triple-                   8
Home Run-         303
Walk-                    9
Balk-                       
Out-                       30
Error-                    13
Sac Fly-                 35
Sac Bunt-             1
Wild Pitch-          5
Passed Ball-        2
Hit by Pitch-        3
The other guys have scored 735 runs so 41% of their runs come from home runs.

In this series 12 of the Mets 14 runs came via the home run, 86%. The Braves got 5 of their 8 from homers, (62.5%). The two teams hit 4 doubles but none of the players who hit them scored.  I’ve been keeping track of this since August 1st and 67 of 181 players who have hit doubles scored, (37%). The Mets have hit 242 home runs, so homers have driven in 131 teammates while doubles have driven in 112. The opposition has hit 204 homers so homers have driven in 99 teammates compared to 129 for doubles. The Mets have 280 doubles. If 37% of those players scored, that’s 104 runs. The opponents have hit 286 doubles. 37% of that is 106 runs. That would mean that homers have accounted for 373 Mets runs and doubles have accounted for (112 + 99=) 211 meaning Mets doubles have been 57% as effective as home runs. The opposition has produced 303 runs via the homer and (106 + 129) 235 via doubles. That’s 78%. Combine those numbers and you get 446/676 = doubles are 66% of home runs.

This concludes the season. What I was looking for was to see how often runs are produced by each possible method, but especially home runs. For the Mets, that's 47%. For the opposition it's 41%. That means that, even in this heavy home run environment, more than half a teams' runs will be scored by other means. Thus ignoring those other means in favor of just trying to win a home run derby type of game is not successful baseball. In fact, the home runs you hit will be more impactful if you are getting on base a lot by other means. The other means are not antithetical to hitting home runs: the more times a strong hitter makes contact with the ball, the more home runs he will hit.

I also wondered about the efficacy of doubles. Home runs produce more runs than doubles but they don't drive in more teammates. In Mets game homers drove in (131 + 99 = ) 230 teammates while doubles drove in (112 + 129 =) 241. Home runs score the batter every time. Players who hit doubles come around to score 37% of the time. But players hit more doubles, even today: (280 + 286 =) 566 than home runs (242 + 204 = ) 446. A double is 66% of a home run, not half a home run. Players who hit a lot of doubles can have nearly the impact of players who hit a lot of home runs. A player with 30 doubles will produce as many runs with those doubles as a player with 20 home runs. Of course, if he can do both...
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