jncuse
I brought the Cocaine to the White House
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Observations based on the 30 2/25 submissions only:
One Seeds
Kansas seems to have recovered from its loss to TCU in the eyes of many, although a handful has kept them as 3.. It probably helped them out that they had them throttled by 30 at the half.
Georgetown benefited a lot from last week - 10 of 30 brackets have them as #2.
Bubble
Last team out would appear to be Ole Miss, who is crapping away a decent start to the season. Last team in would appear to be Boise St.
Nearly everybody has Kentucky back in after a home win against Missouri. Many brackets earlier in the week had them out (about half)
My general expectation is that there are 3 bubble busters each year. So while Boise St, Ole Miss, and Virginia are in right now, they would be tourney week victims.
The bubble is surpisingly clean right now. Might be less jumbled than the bottom one seed. Seems like Virginia, Boise St, and Ole Miss all have a fair share of votes for the last two spots. But literally nobody else is getting any support right now. Not to say it could not change, but rare to see so much consensus.
Other
Impact of conference is showing in New Mexico and St Louis. It can be argued that St Louis is the better team, but New Mexico is going to have the much better computer profile (or computer profile based on a silly measure). The MWC being ranked #1 in conference RPI (and generating many top 50 and top 100 victories) will help New Mexico's individual RPI and other metrics alot.
New Mexico is mostly a 3. St Louis is mostly a 6/7, but trending up ward. Committee will say conference does not matter... but it is only indirect, as conference direclty impacts your RPI and top 50 and top 100 wins.
One Seeds
- Indiana is unanimous #1 right now, Duke 28 out of 30
- The third and fourth #1 seeds are a tossup between five teams right now - Miami, Gonzaga, Florida, Kansas, and Michigan.
Kansas seems to have recovered from its loss to TCU in the eyes of many, although a handful has kept them as 3.. It probably helped them out that they had them throttled by 30 at the half.
Georgetown benefited a lot from last week - 10 of 30 brackets have them as #2.
Bubble
Last team out would appear to be Ole Miss, who is crapping away a decent start to the season. Last team in would appear to be Boise St.
Nearly everybody has Kentucky back in after a home win against Missouri. Many brackets earlier in the week had them out (about half)
My general expectation is that there are 3 bubble busters each year. So while Boise St, Ole Miss, and Virginia are in right now, they would be tourney week victims.
The bubble is surpisingly clean right now. Might be less jumbled than the bottom one seed. Seems like Virginia, Boise St, and Ole Miss all have a fair share of votes for the last two spots. But literally nobody else is getting any support right now. Not to say it could not change, but rare to see so much consensus.
Other
Impact of conference is showing in New Mexico and St Louis. It can be argued that St Louis is the better team, but New Mexico is going to have the much better computer profile (or computer profile based on a silly measure). The MWC being ranked #1 in conference RPI (and generating many top 50 and top 100 victories) will help New Mexico's individual RPI and other metrics alot.
New Mexico is mostly a 3. St Louis is mostly a 6/7, but trending up ward. Committee will say conference does not matter... but it is only indirect, as conference direclty impacts your RPI and top 50 and top 100 wins.