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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1678506, member: 1969"]
[B]So what does Pitt vs Syracuse mean?
[/B]
A win vs Pitt is worth much more than a win vs Virginia Tech.
[B][/B]
IMO, it means that win next game and we are in.  I felt very strongly that 1 win in the ACC would likely be enough (I was using 75-80%) before today.   Now it's 100% if we win.

- It's a quality win
- It should move us ahead of Pitt who will also be on that line
- Teams are losing today as expected on both sides.

Now of course the obvious setback is that our % chance of winning is down quite a bit.   This game scares the crap out of me.
[B]
Can we get in with a Loss to Pitt?[/B]
[I][U]
This, IMO, now becomes the more relevant question.  
[/U][/I]
Our probabilities are moving up.   No serious bubble team has won today except for FSU, and they are still behind us.    Who is going to steal the bid in terms of teams looking for an at-large.

Wichita St losing hurt, but I think the amount of bubble busters can still stay at two.

And one good thing is that if we lose it's not a "bad" loss.

Let's reassess this one in detail after tomorrow's final regular season games.    Chart the teams, and I think we might be surprised at the scenarios.
[/QUOTE]

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