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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1679339, member: 1969"] The matrix was updated this morning (28 brackets were submitted today) These are teams that may not be locks entering today. I welcome any feedback on my lock assessments. Out of 28 brackets [B]ABOVE THE LINE[/B] South Carolina - 28 ... ([B]I think they are a lock [/B]... they are 8-4 vs RPI top 100, and 3-1 vs top 50) Providence - 28... ([B]I think they are a lock[/B] - the worse they can do at this point is lose to Butler which is not punishing) Vanberbilt - 28 ... (Many 9/10/11's on the bracket -- I don't think they want to test losing that first SEC game to Tennessee / Auburn) Butler - 28 ... (Many 8/9, some 10's... they are close to a lock, and first game is against Providence. I don't think they need to win, just a reasonable amount of teams below them not doing what they need to do) USC - 27 ...(Some may have them as a lock -- seem to be 9 seed in most -- but I am sure they do not want to lose to UCLA in first round) Oregon St - 27... (9 to 11 seed in most, so certainly not a lock... may need to beat Arizona St in the first game of the AAC St. Joseph's - 26 ... (Many view them as a lock, but I don't think they want to tempt a bad loss in first A-10 game, followed up by teams below them playing well) Pitt - 26 ...(Can't call them a lock quite yet) St, Bonaventure 26 - ... (Not a lock) VCU - 25 ... (Not a lock) Cincy 23 ... (Sure it's closer to 28 after SMU win today... but maybe not a lock) Syracuse - 22 ... (Not a lock) UConn - 22... (Not a lock) Wichita St - 21... (Most controversial resume right now) Tulsa - 20 ... (Not a lock) [B]BELOW THE LINE[/B] Gonzaga 9 Michigan 6 Florida 3 Temple 22 Houston 1 (beating Memphis and Tulsa would not be enough for them, so they cannot get an at large) BYU 1 (no shot at an at-large) There are other teams below the line with no votes that we need to watch -- I will analyze those later. [/QUOTE]

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