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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 1668194, member: 1969"]
Good observations

GW/VCU are basically tied right now on the matrix (I quickly counted it was 8 vs 6 on the last 2o submissions).   I think they are both out.   So I guess one team or the other will have a chance to play itself in.  If I have the choice I will take the home team (home win is less impressive)

BYU / Gonzaga:  I think you still go with BYU in that game.  I sort of look at it like this -- Gonzaga is 1 slot out (last 4 out), BYU is 3 slots out (outside of last 8).  Perhaps if BYU wins they are both 2 slots out -- and they have run out of time to make up ground as an at large in the WCC.

The one thing with the WCC is that they a balance schedule, so if BYU wins so you could equate the 14-4 records when comparing the two and leave it at that ** -- and then compare the OOC which is a clear advantage for Gonzaga (2 fairly good wins, no bad losses), BYU (no good wins, one bad loss)

**Although the teams couldn't have arrived at 14-4 any differently.  
- Gonzaga has no bad losses all year (WCC or OOC), but went 0-4 against BYU and St. Mary's.
- BYU goes 3-1 against St Mary's and Gonzaga, but has 3 bad losses in conference (and 4 all year)

I think if BYU wins, it takes them both out.
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