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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2072256, member: 1969"]
Good point and I agree.   At this point of the season, any team on the outside can't lose a game it should win.   The following is simplistic and may not hold true for everybody, but to get back in those teams need to win the games they should and also win a big game.   Lose a game you should, and it now means you need to win 2 big games to get back in.  Time is running out for that.

As for Wake,  I think I cracked the code for the Wake RPI.   What P5 school plays 7 of 13 preaseason games on road or neutral courts. including 5 away games?  They won 4 of those games that are worth more than beating a home team.   They won 3 road games vs RPI 71, 107, 136.    Decent wins for a bubble team, but more importantly they are valued fairly highly under the RPI.

I don't think Wake cheated the RPI, it's just that their circumstances worked out well this year.

I can't see them getting excluded if they get to 9-9 in the ACC.   That would mean 4-2 over the rest of the schedule.

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Here is the other positive for Wake.  If a committee member says the RPI just does not look right, they look at KenPom and see #34,  Sagarin at #42, BPI #37.

All that being said, jdubs original point still stands, lose today and those scenarios are just not likely to happen.
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