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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2074342, member: 1969"] I would only label it as likely to get in as of now. I will make call in terms of likely or not, but would not deal in absolutes with a month to go. Now come Selection Sunday, and all the data is in, it's quite possible it will be a lock. But I think we all mostly agree that 11 wins put us in good shape, even if it's not a guarantee. That probability is unfortunately higher than our probability of getting to 11 wins in my view. The only positive on my last comment is that about 3 weeks ago, I said the same thing with one big difference " 80% chance that we get in with 11 wins, but less than 10% chance we get to 11 wins". Today, while a challenge, the probability is much higher than 10%... much higher. Whether we get there or not, as a fan it is good to see that a game on February 13th is still meaningful. [/QUOTE]