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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2075219, member: 1969"]
[B]Right now the list seems quite short compared to prior years.[/B]  Their is no Monmouth, Valparaiso, or even a San Diego St this year.  And even they didn't get in last year, but don't always expect consistency.   I included the KP number as I think they look at analytics to try to compare apples and oranges.   All the teams below have top 50 RPI's, but really empty resumes.

[B]Illinois St (45)[/B] - Wichita St and Illinois St are both tied in the MVC.   I think Wichita St is probably a lock based on analytics so hopefully they take care of business in the MVC, and hope that Illinois St does not steal a bid.

[B]Middle Tennesse (52)[/B] - Beat UNC Wilmington.  But had a few bad losses

[B]UNC Wilmington (56)[/B] - Decent RPI but not much else.   Racked up a few bad losses recently.

[B]Nevada (73)[/B]  - This seems like it might be a stretch however, as the MWC is not that strong.   Also not fond of the KP rating,

I don't include teams like Akron and Monmouth with good RPI's, but KP rankings around #100.  They also lack marquee victories.

Illinois St probably seems the biggest threat above (although they are in more of a potential 2 team league).  I am not particularly fond of any of the other 3 teams above, but maybe Middle Tennessee has the greatest shot.
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