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[QUOTE="obliterata, post: 2077591, member: 1167"]
If the ACC gets 9 bids I like our chances at 10-8, even if it's just 8 bids I still think we have a decent chance. If the conference gets 10 bids we're a virtual lock. I will say winning one game in the ACCT would really help too no matter how many bids the conference gets.

Worst case 10-8 scenario I believe would be beat GTech twice and lose to Duke and at Louisville. We'd be 5-0 in head to head games vs all the other ACC bubble teams if you don't count VaTech and Pitt as being on the bubble (I don't right now, VaTech is in, Pitt not near the bubble). We'd probably be in 7th place with a 10-8 record, maybe tied for 7th. I just don't see the commitee taking 2 teams over SU in this 9-bid scenario. 5-0 vs the other teams on the bubble - Miami, Clemson, Wake Forest, and GTech - cannot be ignored.

If the ACC only gets 8 bids and VaTech and Pitt are on the bubble too I still think we have at least a 50% chance of getting one of the two remaining bids. We'd be 6-2 vs the other 6 ACC bubblers and that would probably be the best head to head record of this group of 7.
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