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Message: [QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2092981, member: 1969"] Before we get to far into this week, my probabilities are as follows No Wins - 5% or Less One Win (Louisville) - 90%+ One Win (Georgia Tech) - around 50% Two Wins - 99% For the 50% with one win, as I showed in another thread last night there is still to many moving parts. Many teams have one more regular season game than us. So many teams should have 2 wins or more over our 1 win. And while GT at home is nice, it's not a massive game changer. I also want to add Commitee "JIE" to explain below. The closer is it is the harder it is to predict what the committee will do. [/QUOTE]