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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 2093001, member: 1969"]
I'm going to start saying Committee JIE a lot in the next few weeks.  My new nerdy bad acronym.

It stands for Commitee Judgment, Inconsistency and Error.  This is a big reason why I can't say more than 50% with one more win.

[B]Committee Judgment[/B] - Many of these teams are close.   There are many factors and metrics that they look at (5 or 6 primary ones for bubble teams).  It's not easy to separate teams.   Sometimes there is no right choice.
[B]
Committee Inconsistency :  [/B]These are the primary factors for bubble teams based on importance

[I]Starting from the most important and I am paraphrasing**[/I]
Quality Wins
Ability to Perform Away from Home
Scheduling - Non Conference SOS 
Individual Team Rankings 
Head to Head vs Other Bubble Teams

**I have seen a screen pop up about 3 times the last week on game broadcasts that say the same thing.   I think it is official, but I can't confirm.

Syracuse is obviously great in the largest primary factor.   We have good analytical rankings other than RPI and head to head we are good.

We are terrible on the road, our non-conference SOS is weak. and our RPI would be the worst ever to get in the NCAA tournament if we only win one game.

How much do they weight the highest primary factor against lower primary factors.   I don't think all committees will do it the same way.   We would be OK with last year's committee but maybe not this year.   This does not mean the committee made an error either.

[B]Committee Error - [/B]There is always the risk that the committee does something stupid or very "odd".
[/QUOTE]

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