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Message: [QUOTE="STEVEHOLT, post: 3660269, member: 522"] let me give you the basic situation if i let it ride, and the bills win, i will win a total of 80 units if i let it ride and lose, i will win 0 units if i hedge with a ML bet of 20 units to the pats...and pats win will end up with 60 units... if i hedge with a ML bet of 20 to the pats..and pats lose..i end up with 60 units (80 for the bills win minus the 20 hedge) so im guaranteeing 60 units with the hedge..but giving up on the 80 units..\ something else to think about..i can live in game hedge as well. Bill B always kicks if he wins the toss. Im assuming the bills will receive if they get the toss..this means the bills likely to end up with the first possession..if they score, the ML will go up even higher..and i could hedge then at a +300 level. [/QUOTE]