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Message: [QUOTE="STEVEHOLT, post: 5620405, member: 522"] Normally I’d be apprehensive about bills at jags. But the jags have had so much tire pumping from the talking heads that they no longer have that feel of a “nobody believes in us” team, despite the bills being slight favorites at open (I think it flips to jags by Sunday ) Tale of the tape Jags D: 1st against the run. 20th vs pass Jags O: 12th passing . 20th running Bills D: 27th against the run. 1st vs pass Bills O: 15th passing. 1st running. So we have a bad run D vs a bad run O We have a great run D vs a great run O Then we have a middle of the pack pass offense vs a bad pass defense and a slightly better than average pass offense vs a great pass defense . Seems to me this game will come down to whether our bad run D can limit their bad run offense vs can their great run D limit our great run offense. I think the passing for each team will be moderately successful. [/QUOTE]