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Message: [QUOTE="STEVEHOLT, post: 189604, member: 522"] It is more complex than simply will he be a first round pick. He likely will. He will likely make a decent chunk of change doing it. BUT...he will likely ride the pine for a few years and there is a chance that he fizzles. Look at how much the kid improved from his first to his second year. Imagine how much better he could be in his third year? He could end up being a top five pick. Now we are talking not only bigger money, but more pressure on the drafting team to give him a legit shot...and the more likey he gets drafted by a team that is bad and will actually play him. which ties into my real point...THE SECOND CONTRACT. that is where the real money is made in terms of generational money. I just dont see much risk in melo coming back. He isnt going to get worse and this isnt football where there is a high risk of injury. [/QUOTE]