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[QUOTE="Melancer46, post: 5392333, member: 1674"]
On3's industry ranking has Sadiq at #30 and Kiyan at #33, so for the sake of expanding the range a little, let's look at 25-40 the last few years. From 2021-2024, we had 63 players go to college in that range (one went to G-League Ignite so I excluded them). Among the 63, they averaged 10 starts in their freshmen season. 36/63 started at least one game. The median number of minutes per game for this group was 14.9 (I'm an idiot and didn't write down total games played so I couldn't properly calculate an average so this is the best you're getting lol). The median for starts was 5. So based on this, I feel like people's expectations are pretty reasonable; Sadiq and Kiyan will likely play a pretty good amount but based purely on their ranking as a recruit, aren't likely to be a full-time starter.

Having said that, it does seem like the sons of famous NBA players that ended up ranked in Kiyan's range as a recruit all played at least half the minutes in their freshmen seasons (rounding Bronny's 19 up here). That is admittedly a very small sample of players though (Jett Howard, Andrej Stojakovic, Bronny, and Jase Richardson).
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