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Message: [QUOTE="AZcuse77, post: 2046846, member: 6173"] I said we had about 5% chance at UNC and about 10% chance at ND. We played awful both times and have not even played decent on the road all year (even at VT I thought they played bad and we played worse and it wasn't very close). FSU is just as dominant as UNC in my opinion. We will sure be exhausted as they try to (and probably will) carve us up with the 12-man attack. But we are at home so its more like 30% chance of victory. We will probably need to upset 2 of FSU, UVA, Duke, 'Ville at home... and take three of our four "easy" road games against NCSU / Clemson / Pitt / GT to be in the tourney picture. Then we get crushed at UL and hopefully win at home vs GT to finish 10-8. Even the most optimistic fan would consider that scenario highly unlikely but there's a chance. We would have our 3 road wins and two wins against upper tier ACC teams. [/QUOTE]