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[QUOTE="RF2044, post: 2465753, member: 40"]
Instead of "locking into absolutes," it is looking at our preseason record, and then trying to ascertain what we will need to do in the conference portion of the schedule to place our heads above water on selection sunday.  OF COURSE who you beat matters, and where.  I just don't think 8 wins and crossing our fingers is going to get it done.

Last year, we didn't get selected because we performed worse in the nonconferenceportion of the schedule than just about any other year under JB -- so despite having a respectable conference record with several wins over highly rated teams [Duke, UVa, and FSU were all top 10 teams when we beat them], we couldn't overcome the poor start or the lack of quality road wins.  And despite the horrific non-conference performance, we still came within an eyelash of making the tournament.

This year's team had a decent nonconference performance.  Pointing to 9 wins is just projecting what it will take to get us on the proper side of the line of demarcation.  If you want to say that the number is 8 vs. 9, go for it.  Although I happen to disagree, it really isn't worth splitting hairs over via statistical analysis, IMO -- we need to just keep winning.  And when we were 1-4 in conference play a week ago, getting to 9 conference wins didn't seem likely.  Would I prefer to win more, sure.  But let's focus on what's going to get into the NCAA tournament first, and then worry about seeding second.

If we only win 8, I sure as heck won't feel comfortable watching the selection show.
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