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Message: [QUOTE="Millhouse, post: 331478, member: 78"] i like looking at yards allowed and yards gained in conference play. turnovers make or break lots of seasons but a lot of that is somewhat random. out of conference schedules can vary a great deal every year. i'm not saying yards equates perfectly to wins and losses. football has so few games, a few random plays can make or break. part of what makes it fun. but if they were somehow able to play hundreds of games, yards would tell most of the story. similar to the pythagorean wins stuff from baseball - runs scored and runs allowed will converge to the actual wins and losses pretty close if you play enough games to smooth out the weird volatility between individual games. [/QUOTE]