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Message: [QUOTE="A Clockwork Orange, post: 768660, member: 16"] Interesting. I think all things considered you have to look at who you have at those positions. Our kicker is obviously not great, so I think that 72% chance would obviously go down a good deal. Call it 50% (and i think I'm being generous there). The odds are obviously less in your favor going for it on 4th and 11. Given the situation (down 21, needing to score to match the other team, etc...) it seems the appropriate move to go to it. Someone in the thread said you need to build momentum there. A field goal does that? To me it just means chances are we traded a field goal for a touchdown. This isn't the 1937 Chicago Bears. It's not a grind it out game anymore. You need to find ways to score, and you need to take some risk in trying to score. You have an opportunity and you're trying to win, you go for it there. Even if he had made the field goal I would have been irritated. [/QUOTE]