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Message: [QUOTE="HRE Otto IV, post: 5500317, member: 5685"] In their last 9 FBS games they have averaged 21.8 ppg. With a high of 34, which was the only game over 27 points, which was vs a G6 and only other game over 24. They have conceded only 23.3 ppg. But that is more than they have scored. Their low is 14 points. They have played a lot of quality teams over that stretch. But looking at the above how can they be favored by so much? I would also be thinking of taking the under but our style likely leads to a higher scoring game. If our D gives up 22 points it will be above avg for the. In their last 10. If our D gives up 25 points it will be their 2nd best of 9 P4 games. If our D gives up 28 points it will be their 2nd best of the last 10. If our D gives up 35 points it will be their best. I think we will learn a lot about our D this game. So if we scored a new low and conceded a new high, it would be 35-13 which barely covers the spread. [/QUOTE]