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[QUOTE="jncuse, post: 5680125, member: 1969"]
Purely based on my review of the bracket matrix, USF is getting in the tournament right now as conference champion... 113 of 121 have them as the auto-bid from the American based on their first place standing... some also put the best team in NET as their auto bid on the matrix, which is why a few have Tulsa as I assume they go back and forth with USF in NET (52 vs 55).   They are ranked as the best #12 team seed... the first team outside of those getting at-large bids.    Your classic dangerous 12 seed - so they are not a bad team at all.

Based on the fact that they have the top record in the AAC (11-3 vs 10-5), the top NET and they have won 5 in a row and 8 of 9, they are certainly the favourites for the auto-bid.

[B]Would they get an at-large if they don't win their conference? [/B]Not very likely based on the matrix... the matrix has the last at-large team at 10.98 seed vs 11.93 seed for USF.   So doesn't appear many have USF as potential at-large candidate.

Its going to be hard for them to get another Q1 win.   So I think they have to win the American to get in, which they have good chances of doing.

If they don't get in the tournament, they will probably be a top 3 seed in the NIT.
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