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College football teams tend to improve in a new coach’s second year. But not after that.
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[QUOTE="Lou_C, post: 2011910, member: 3201"] I personally think there are few modern examples of a program continuing to trend up or even maintain after the first 2-4 years. I think that's when most staffs peak, and then it's just whether you can not fall too far back. I think there are a ton of advantages to newness that makes that the sweet spot. There are exceptions (obviously Saban is the exception to everything), but they're getting further and further back in time. How many coaches have won national titles in recent years beyond their 6th year on the job? Saban obviously, Mack Brown in '05 comes to mind. There aren't many. After four years or so, you can't sell yourself as the exciting new thing on the recruiting trail, your conference opponents start to get a handle on what you're doing on the field and on the recruiting trail and begin to counter it, you start to lose assistants after your initial success, etc. And I say all that knowing Jimbo Fisher just got basically a ten year extension. [/QUOTE]
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College football teams tend to improve in a new coach’s second year. But not after that.
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