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Message: [QUOTE="upperdeck, post: 5420780, member: 474"] Bill Connelly had a story today on college luck last year. In it he talks about Turnovers/Injuries/Expected win %/wins in 1 score games I scroll thru his numbers for SU. Some games make sense like Pitt. But he has us at 50% chance to win the Cal game. Looking back we outgained them by 100 yds. We led by 2 scores almost all game. Really 1 long run from Cal away from being up almost 30pts. We had the ball almost 20 more min. led in every stat. It also falls into his 1 score game luck because Cal scored with 1 Min to go. Much the same as the UNLV game. Out gained them by 150 yds, FDs by 15 yet only 40% chance to win. UNLV got multiple kicking game things to even stay in the game. Sure we came back late, but UNLV got a ton of fluky plays. [/QUOTE]