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[QUOTE="Louie and Bouie, post: 1926803, member: 793"]
Believe it or not, most computer models don't take current record into account at all in their rating systems. Their models are a predictor of future performance based upon current statistical data to date while adjusting for relevant factors.  In my opinion, the best computer rating systems take into account offensive and defensive efficiency (i.e. yards per play, points per possession) while adjusting for pace of play and strength of schedule.

Most of our computer ratings/rankings are currently in the 65-75 range which seems reasonable although I would rate us a little higher based on the "eye" test and the progression our team has made throughout the season.

I know its sacrilege to say on this board right now but it is the lack of points by the offense (despite all of the yardage) that is statistically holding back our computer rating right now and not our defensive production.  Right now, we are averaging an adjusted 1.73 points per possession (26 points per game adjusted) on offense which puts us 81st place in the country.  In order to be a Top 40 team I believe we need to average about 2.50 points per possession on offense (at our current rate of 15 possessions per game) which translates to about 37-38 points per game.  Of course, as the defense gets better the stress on the offense to score 37 points per game will go down.

Just my two cents as I really like to look at the numbers behind the records.
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